ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2018
Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Zika and Dengue Infections within Colombia.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Spatial connectivity in mosquito-borne disease models: a systematic review of methods and assumptions.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2021Pooled it
- Zika, chikungunya and co-occurrence in Brazil: space-time clusters and associated environmental-socioeconomic factors.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Estimation of the relationship between meteorological factors and measles using spatiotemporal Bayesian model in Shandong Province, China.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Democratizing Public Health: Participatory Policymaking Institutions, Mosquito Control, and Zika in the Americas.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2023Article
- Spatio-temporal clusters and patterns of spread of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika in Colombia.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2022Article
- Spatio-temporal modelling of the first Chikungunya epidemic in an intra-urban setting: The role of socioeconomic status, environment and temperature.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Article
- Spatial and Temporal Impacts of Socioeconomic and Environmental Factors on Healthcare Resources: A County-Level Bayesian Local Spatiotemporal Regression Modeling Study of Hospital Beds in Southwest China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Identifying high risk areas of Zika virus infection by meteorological factors in Colombia.BMC infectious diseases · 2019Article
- Joint Estimation of Relative Risk for Dengue and Zika Infections, Colombia, 2015-2016.Emerging infectious diseases · 2019Article
- Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Infectious Diseases.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The aim of this study is to estimate the parallel relative risk of Zika virus disease (ZVD) and dengue using spatio-temporal interaction effects models for one department and one city of Colombia during the 2015⁻2016 ZVD outbreak. We apply the integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) for parameter estimation, using the epidemiological week (EW) as a time measure. At the departmental level, the best model showed that the dengue or ZVD risk in one municipality was highly associated with risk in the same municipality during the preceding EWs, while at the city level, the final model selected established that the high risk of dengue or ZVD in one census sector was highly associated not only with its neighboring census sectors in the same EW, but also with its neighboring sectors in the preceding EW. The spatio-temporal models provided smoothed risk estimates, credible risk intervals, and estimation of the probability of high risk of dengue and ZVD by area and time period. We explore the intricacies of the modeling process and interpretation of the results, advocating for the use of spatio-temporal models of the relative risk of dengue and ZVD in order to generate highly valuable epidemiological information for public health decision making.
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