ArticleBulletin of the World Health Organization2018
Early assessment of China's 2015 tobacco tax increase.
Article in Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 38 citations in OpenAlex.
- A systematic review and network meta-analysis of population-level interventions to tackle smoking behaviour.Nature human behaviour · 2024Pooled it
- Current Progress and Challenges to Tobacco Control in China.China CDC weekly · 2022Pooled it
- Improving legislation is a necessity: A multi-method quantitative analysis of tobacco sponsorship and publicity in China.Tobacco induced diseases · 2026Article
- Trends of cause-specific cardiovascular disease mortality in China, 2009-2019: a nationwide longitudinal study.Annals of medicine · 2025Article
- Burden of laryngeal cancer in China caused by smoking from 1990 to 2021 and predictions for 2035: An age-period-cohort analysis of global burden of disease study 2021.Tobacco induced diseases · 2025Article
- [Application of the cigarette purchase tasks in achieving China' s tobacco control goals].Beijing da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Peking University. Health sciences · 2024Article
- Early Assessment of Impact of Increased Value Added Tax on Smoking Behaviors and Financing among Adult Smokers in Saudi Arabia.Iranian journal of public health · 2023Article
- Real-world, anti-tobacco environmental impact upon price-induced smoking reduction among urban Chinese men: Evidence from China's 2015 cigarette tax increase.Tobacco induced diseases · 2023Article
- China's Smoke-free Policies in Public Place and the Smoking Cessation Status of Smokers.Tobacco use insights · 2023Article
- Analysis of nicotine dependence among daily smokers in China: evidence from a cross-sectional study in Zhejiang Province.BMJ open · 2022Article
- Changing Behaviour: Blindness to Risk and a Critique of Tobacco Control Policy in China-A Qualitative Study.Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Evolution of media frames about e-cigarettes from 2004 to 2019: a content analysis of newspapers in China.Health education research · 2022Article
- Smoking burden, MPOWER, future tobacco control and real-world challenges in China: reflections on the WHO report on the global tobacco epidemic 2021.Translational lung cancer research · 2022Article
- Modelling the expected impact of cigarette tax and price increases under Vietnam's excise tax law 2015-2020.Tobacco control · 2021Article
- The impact of smoking on annual healthcare cost: an econometric model analysis in China, 2015.BMC health services research · 2021Article
- Effects of government cash subsidies on health risk behaviors of the rural elderly: Evidence from social pension expansions in China.Tobacco induced diseases · 2021Article
- Public Opinion About E-Cigarettes on Chinese Social Media: A Combined Study of Text Mining Analysis and Correspondence Analysis.Journal of medical Internet research · 2020Article
- The Impact of Cigarette Excise Tax Increases on Regular Drinking Behavior: Evidence from China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Article
- Tobacco control and Healthy China 2030.Tobacco control · 2019Article
- Impact of Smoking Status on Stroke Recurrence.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
In 2015, the Chinese government raised tobacco excise tax for the first time since 2009. Changing from previous practice, the State Tobacco Monopoly Administration raised its cigarette prices at the same time. We assessed the early impact of the 2015 tax increase on cigarette prices, sales volumes, tax revenue generation and the potential effect on prevalence of smoking in China. Between 2014 and 2016, the retail price of cigarettes increased on average by 11%, with the cheapest category of cigarette brands increasing by 20%. The average proportion of tax in the price of cigarettes rose from 51.7% to 55.7%. Annual cigarette sales decreased by 7.8%, from 127 to 117 billion packs. The increase in cigarette prices could be associated with a 0.2% to 0.6% decrease in the proportion of adults smoking, representing between 2.2 and 6.5 million fewer smokers. Tax revenues from cigarettes increased by 14%, from 740 to 842 billion Chinese yuan between 2014 and 2016, reflecting an extra 101 billion Chinese yuan in tax revenues for the government. The 2015 tax increase shows that tobacco taxation can provide measurable benefits to both public health and finance in China. The experience also highlights the potential for tobacco taxation to contribute to China's broader development targets, including the sustainable development goals and Healthy China 2030. Looking forward, this link to development can be facilitated through multisectoral research and dialogue to develop consistent cross-sectoral objectives for tobacco tax policy design and implementation.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.