Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29961807›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2018

Investigating causality in associations between education and smoking: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study.

Suzanne H Gage, Jack Bowden, George Davey Smith, Marcus R Munafò

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
6.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 70 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Suzanne H GageDepartment of Psychological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Jack BowdenMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
George Davey SmithMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Marcus R MunafòMRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
MRC Epidemiology Unit · GBUniversity of Bristol · GBUniversity of Liverpool · GB

Funding

British Heart FoundationCancer Research UKMedical Research Council MC_UU_00011/2Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/7Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_12013/6Medical Research Council MR/K023195/1Medical Research Council MR/N501906/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Lower educational attainment is associated with increased rates of smoking, but ascertaining causality is challenging. We used two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses of summary statistics to examine whether educational attainment is causally related to smoking. Methods and Findings: We used summary statistics from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of educational attainment and a range of smoking phenotypes (smoking initiation, cigarettes per day, cotinine levels and smoking cessation). Of 74 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that predict educational attainment, 57 (or their highly correlated proxies) were present in the smoking initiation, cigarettes per day and smoking cessation GWAS, and 72 in the cotinine GWAS. Various complementary MR techniques (inverse variance weighted regression, MR Egger, weighted median regression) were used to test the robustness of our results. We found broadly consistent evidence across these techniques that higher educational attainment leads to reduced likelihood of smoking initiation, reduced heaviness of smoking among smokers (as measured via self-report [e.g. inverse variance weighted beta -2.25, 95% confidence interval (CI) -3.81, -0.70, P = 0.005] and cotinine levels [e.g. inverse variance weighted beta -0.34, 95% CI -0.67, -0.01, P = 0.057]), and greater likelihood of smoking cessation among smokers (inverse variance weighted beta 0.65, 95% CI 0.35, 0.95, P = 5.54 × 10-5). Less consistent across the different techniques were associations between educational attainment and smoking initiation. Conclusions: Our findings indicate a causal association between low educational attainment and increased risk of smoking, and may explain the observational associations between educational attainment and adverse health outcomes such as risk of coronary heart disease.

Indexed as

Educational StatusPolymorphism, Single NucleotideSmoking CessationBiomarkersCausalityCigarette SmokingCotinineGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMendelian Randomization AnalysisUnited KingdomBiomarkersCotinine

Identifiers

PMID29961807
PMCPMC6124626
OpenAlexW2952110053

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.