Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29961234›Full record

ArticleClinical rheumatology2018

The incidence, prevalence, and survival of systemic sclerosis in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

Jeremy G Royle, Peter C Lanyon, Matthew J Grainge, Abhishek Abhishek, Fiona A Pearce

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical rheumatology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 53 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jeremy G RoyleDepartment of Rheumatology, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, UK.
Peter C LanyonDepartment of Rheumatology, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, UK.
Matthew J GraingeDivision of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Abhishek AbhishekDivision of Academic Rheumatology, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK.
Fiona A PearceDivision of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK. Fiona.Pearce@Nottingham.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2884-1998

Funding

Arthritis Research UK 21380Versus Arthritis 21380
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To estimate the incidence, prevalence, and survival of systemic sclerosis in the United Kingdom. We conducted a historical cohort study using data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). We calculated the incidence and survival of systemic sclerosis between 1994 and 2013 and examined its association with age, sex, and socioeconomic status. We calculated point prevalence on 1 July 2013 and examined its association with the same exposures. We identified 1327 cases with incident systemic sclerosis. Annual incidence was 19.4 per million person-years between 1994 and 2013. The incidence was 4.7 times higher in women than in men, was not influenced by socioeconomic status, and has remained stable over the 20 year study period. The peak age of onset was 55-69 years. Survival at 1, 5, and 10 years was 94.2, 80.0, and 65.7%, respectively. The prevalence was 307 (290-323) per million with the highest prevalence in the 70-84 years age group. We estimate there are currently 1180 new cases of systemic sclerosis each year in the UK, and 19,390 people living with systemic sclerosis. Due to the predicted growth and aging of the population, we predict a 24% increase in incident cases and 26% increase in prevalent cases in 20 years' time. Our estimates of incidence and prevalence are higher than previously reported in the UK, but similar to recent USA and Swedish studies, and do not support a north-south gradient of the occurrence of systemic sclerosis in Europe.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceEpidemiologyIncidenceMortalityPrevalenceSystemic sclerosis

Identifiers

PMID29961234
PMCPMC6061074

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.