Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29959405›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2018

Modeling and mapping the burden of disease in Kenya.

Michael Frings, Tobia Lakes, Daniel Müller, M M H Khan, Michael Epprecht, Samuel Kipruto, Sandro Galea, Oliver Gruebner

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Michael FringsHumboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Geography Department, Berlin, Germany.
Tobia LakesHumboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Geography Department, Berlin, Germany.
Daniel MüllerHumboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Geography Department, Berlin, Germany.
M M H KhanUniversity of Bielefeld, School of Public Health, Department of Public Health Medicine, Bielefeld, Germany.
Michael EpprechtUniversity of Bern, Center for Development and Environment (CDE), Bern, Switzerland.
Samuel KiprutoKenya National Bureau of Statistics, Nairobi, Kenya.
Sandro GaleaBoston University, Department of Epidemiology, Boston, MA, USA.
Oliver GruebnerHumboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Geography Department, Berlin, Germany. oliver.gruebner@geo.hu-berlin.de.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Precision public health approaches are crucial for targeting health policies to regions most affected by disease. We present the first sub-national and spatially explicit burden of disease study in Africa. We used a cross-sectional study design and assessed data from the Kenya population and housing census of 2009 for calculating YLLs (years of life lost) due to premature mortality at the division level (N = 612). We conducted spatial autocorrelation analysis to identify spatial clusters of YLLs and applied boosted regression trees to find statistical associations between locational risk factors and YLLs. We found statistically significant spatial clusters of high numbers of YLLs at the division level in western, northwestern, and northeastern areas of Kenya. Ethnicity and household crowding were the most important and significant risk factors for YLL. Further positive and significantly associated variables were malaria endemicity, northern geographic location, and higher YLL in neighboring divisions. In contrast, higher rates of married people and more precipitation in a division were significantly associated with less YLL. We provide an evidence base and a transferable approach that can guide health policy and intervention in sub-national regions afflicted by disease burden in Kenya and other areas of comparable settings.

Indexed as

Life ExpectancyModels, StatisticalCause of DeathCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceKenyaMalariaMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRisk FactorsSurvival Rate

Identifiers

PMID29959405
PMCPMC6026135

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.