Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29950396›Full record

Observational studyBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2018

Prospective external validation of the Predicting Out-of-OFfice Blood Pressure (PROOF-BP) strategy for triaging ambulatory monitoring in the diagnosis and management of hypertension: observational cohort study.

James P Sheppard, Una Martin, Paramjit Gill, Richard Stevens, Fd Richard Hobbs, Jonathan Mant, Marshall Godwin, Janet Hanley, Brian McKinstry, Martin Myers and 3 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 8 institutions in 2 countries.

James P SheppardNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, OX2 6GG Oxford, UK james.sheppard@phc.ox.ac.uk.
Una MartinInstitute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Paramjit GillWarwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Richard StevensNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, OX2 6GG Oxford, UK.
Fd Richard HobbsNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, OX2 6GG Oxford, UK.
Jonathan MantUniversity of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Marshall GodwinMemorial University of Newfoundland, St John's, Canada.
Janet HanleyEdinburgh Napier University, Edinburgh, UK.
Brian McKinstryUniversity of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Martin MyersUniversity of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
David NunanNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, OX2 6GG Oxford, UK.
Richard J McManusNuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Primary Care, OX2 6GG Oxford, UK.
PROOF-BP investigators
University of Oxford · GBEdinburgh Napier University · GBMemorial University of Newfoundland · CAUniversity of Birmingham · GBUniversity of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Edinburgh · GBUniversity of Toronto · CAUniversity of Warwick · GB

Funding

Chief Scientist Office ARPG/07/03Department of Health 12/01/52Department of Health CDF/01/017Department of Health IS-SPC-0514-10043Department of Health NIHR-RP-02-12-015Medical Research Council MC_PC_11004Medical Research Council MR/K022032/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo prospectively validate the Predicting Out-of-OFfice Blood Pressure (PROOF-BP) algorithm to triage patients with suspected high blood pressure for ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) in routine clinical practice.

designProspective observational cohort study.

setting10 primary care practices and one hospital in the UK.

participants887 consecutive patients aged 18 years or more referred for ABPM in routine clinical practice. All underwent ABPM and had the PROOF-BP applied.

main outcome measuresThe main outcome was the proportion of participants whose hypertensive status was correctly classified using the triaging strategy compared with the reference standard of daytime ABPM. Secondary outcomes were the sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) for detecting hypertension.

resultsThe mean age of participants was 52.8 (16.2) years. The triaging strategy correctly classified hypertensive status in 801 of the 887 participants (90%, 95% confidence interval 88% to 92%) and had a sensitivity of 97% (95% confidence interval 96% to 98%) and specificity of 76% (95% confidence interval 71% to 81%) for hypertension. The AUROC was 0.86 (95% confidence interval 0.84 to 0.89). Use of triaging, rather than uniform referral for ABPM in routine practice, would have resulted in 435 patients (49%, 46% to 52%) being referred for ABPM and the remainder managed on the basis of their clinic measurements. Of these, 69 (8%, 6% to 10%) would have received treatment deemed unnecessary had they received ABPM.

conclusionsIn a population of patients referred for ABPM, this new triaging approach accurately classified hypertensive status for most, with half the utilisation of ABPM compared with usual care. This triaging strategy can therefore be recommended for diagnosis or management of hypertension in patients where ABPM is being considered, particularly in settings with limited resources.

Indexed as

Antihypertensive AgentsBlood PressureBlood Pressure Monitoring, AmbulatoryFemaleHumansHypertensionMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesReproducibility of ResultsSensitivity and SpecificityTriageAntihypertensive Agents

Identifiers

PMID29950396
PMCPMC6020747
OpenAlexW2810777741

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.