ArticleEcology and evolution2018
Insights from modeling studies on how climate change affects invasive alien species geography.
Article in Ecology and evolution, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.
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Who cites it
35 citing papers in PubMed.
- Climate Change Impact on the Potential Distribution and Invasion Risk ofEcology and evolution · 2026Article
- Contrasting vulnerability profiles for insular assemblages of birds and mammals facing global change.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2026Article
- River interlinking and biodiversity risks in Indian freshwater ecosystems.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Invasion of old world Tamarix chinensis and T. ramosissima in the new world: ecological niche shifts during the invasion process.BMC plant biology · 2026Article
- Predicting the Potential Spread of Invasive Reptiles From Hong Kong and Taiwan to Other Regions of China.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Climate change may increase the suitable habitats for invasive freshwater cichlids in a Neotropical basin.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Climate Change Drives the Distribution of Insect Vectors for GLRaV-3 on a Global Scale.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Modeling the Potential Invasion Risk ofEcology and evolution · 2025Article
- Climate-Induced Range Shift and Risk Assessment of Emerging Weeds in Queensland, Australia.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Comparative Analysis of Mechanistic and Correlative Models for Global and Bhutan-Specific Suitability of Parthenium Weed and Vulnerability of Agriculture in Bhutan.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Modeling the distribution of pine wilt disease in China using the ensemble models MaxEnt and CLIMEX.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- Attenuated total reflection Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy reveals environment specific phenotypes in clonal Japanese knotweed.BMC plant biology · 2024Article
- Risk Perception: Chemical Stimuli in Predator Detection and Feeding Behaviour of the Invasive Round GobyBiology · 2024Article
- Impacts of Climate Change on the Habitat Suitability and Natural Product Accumulation of the Medicinal PlantPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Planktonic eukaryotes in the Chesapeake Bay: contrasting responses of abundant and rare taxa to estuarine gradients.Microbiology spectrum · 2024Article
- Effects of Climate Change on the Distribution ofPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- The cumulative niche approach: A framework to assess the performance of ecological niche model projections.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on the Range Expansion of the Invasive Straggler Daisy (Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Patterns and drivers of climatic niche dynamics during biological invasions of island-endemic amphibians, reptiles, and birds.Global change biology · 2023Article
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4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate change and biological invasions are threatening biodiversity and ecosystem services worldwide. It has now been widely acknowledged that climate change will affect biological invasions. A large number of studies have investigated predicted shifts and other changes in the geographic ranges of invasive alien species related to climate change using modeling approaches. Yet these studies have provided contradictory evidence, and no consensus has been reached. We conducted a systematic review of 423 modeling case studies included in 71 publications that have examined the predicted effects of climate change on those species. We differentiate the approaches used in these studies and synthesize their main results. Our results reaffirm the major role of climate change as a driver of invasive alien species distribution in the future. We found biases in the literature both regarding the taxa, toward plants and invertebrates, and the areas of the planet investigated. Despite these biases, we found for the plants and vertebrates studied that climate change will more frequently contribute to a decrease in species range size than an increase in the overall area occupied. This is largely due to oceans preventing terrestrial invaders from spreading poleward. In contrast, we found that the ranges of invertebrates and pathogens studied are more likely to increase following climate change. An important caveat to these findings is that researchers have rarely considered the effects of climate change on transport, introduction success, or the resulting impacts. We recommend closing these research gaps, and propose additional avenues for future investigations, as well as opportunities and challenges for managing invasions under climate change.
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