ArticleJAMA oncology2018
Association of Body Mass Index and Age With Subsequent Breast Cancer Risk in Premenopausal Women.
Article in JAMA oncology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 207 papers, 14 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
207 citing papers in PubMed, 14 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 360 citations in OpenAlex.
- Sensitive Period Analysis of Adulthood BMI and Cancer Risk: An Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis of Over 720,000 Participants in the ABACus 2 Consortium.International journal of cancer · 2026Pooled it
- Normal weight obesity, circulating biomarkers and risk of breast cancer: a prospective cohort study and meta-analysis.British journal of cancer · 2025Pooled it
- Role of body mass index and weight change in the risk of cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 66 cohort studies.Journal of global health · 2024Pooled it
- How does weight gain since the age of 18 years affect breast cancer risk in later life? A meta-analysis.Breast cancer research : BCR · 2024Pooled it
- Association of physical weight statuses defined by body mass index (BMI) with molecular subtypes of premenopausal breast cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Breast cancer research and treatment · 2024Pooled it
- Dose response relationship between breast cancer and somatotypes during childhood: a systematic review and meta-analysis.British journal of cancer · 2023Pooled it
- The relation between obesity and breast cancer risk in women by considering menstruation status and geographical variations: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC women's health · 2023Pooled it
- Methylation-based markers of aging and lifestyle-related factors and risk of breast cancer: a pooled analysis of four prospective studies.Breast cancer research : BCR · 2022Pooled it
- Early-life body mass index and risks of breast, endometrial, and ovarian cancers: a dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies.British journal of cancer · 2022Pooled it
- The underexplored links between cancer and the internal body climate: Implications for cancer prevention and treatment.Frontiers in oncology · 2022Pooled it
- The predictive value of body mass index on prognosis and adverse events of cancers treated with immunotherapy: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Cancer immunology, immunotherapy : CII · 2021Pooled it
- No association between abortion and risk of breast cancer among nulliparous women: Evidence from a meta-analysis.Medicine · 2020Pooled it
- The impact of patient characteristics and lifestyle factors on the risk of an ipsilateral event after a primary DCIS: A systematic review.Breast (Edinburgh, Scotland) · 2020Pooled it
- Association of Anorexia Nervosa With Risk of Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.JAMA network open · 2019Pooled it
- Adiposity and risk of breast cancer in 280 000 Chinese women: a prospective cohort study.International journal of epidemiology · 2026Observational
- Global patterns and risk factors of breast cancer in women under 35: a population-based study.Breast (Edinburgh, Scotland) · 2026Article
- The effect of body mass index change on breast and uterine cancer risk in middle- and older-aged adults.International journal of cancer · 2026Article
- Adverse childhood experiences, adult adiposity, and risk of young-onset breast cancer subtypes in a population-based case-control study.Cancer causes & control : CCC · 2026Article
- Article
- Generational trends in reproductive factors among women in the US: implications for breast cancer incidence.Breast cancer research : BCR · 2026Article
147 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
51 authors at 20 institutions in 16 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Importance: The association between increasing body mass index (BMI; calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) and risk of breast cancer is unique in cancer epidemiology in that a crossover effect exists, with risk reduction before and risk increase after menopause. The inverse association with premenopausal breast cancer risk is poorly characterized but might be important in the understanding of breast cancer causation. Objective: To investigate the association of BMI with premenopausal breast cancer risk, in particular by age at BMI, attained age, risk factors for breast cancer, and tumor characteristics. Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter analysis used pooled individual-level data from 758 592 premenopausal women from 19 prospective cohorts to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of premenopausal breast cancer in association with BMI from ages 18 through 54 years using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. Median follow-up was 9.3 years (interquartile range, 4.9-13.5 years) per participant, with 13 082 incident cases of breast cancer. Participants were recruited from January 1, 1963, through December 31, 2013, and data were analyzed from September 1, 2013, through December 31, 2017. Exposures: Body mass index at ages 18 to 24, 25 to 34, 35 to 44, and 45 to 54 years. Main Outcomes and Measures: Invasive or in situ premenopausal breast cancer. Results: Among the 758 592 premenopausal women (median age, 40.6 years; interquartile range, 35.2-45.5 years) included in the analysis, inverse linear associations of BMI with breast cancer risk were found that were stronger for BMI at ages 18 to 24 years (HR per 5 kg/m2 [5.0-U] difference, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.73-0.80) than for BMI at ages 45 to 54 years (HR per 5.0-U difference, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.86-0.91). The inverse associations were observed even among nonoverweight women. There was a 4.2-fold risk gradient between the highest and lowest BMI categories (BMI≥35.0 vs <17.0) at ages 18 to 24 years (HR, 0.24; 95% CI, 0.14-0.40). Hazard ratios did not appreciably vary by attained age or between strata of other breast cancer risk factors. Associations were stronger for estrogen receptor-positive and/or progesterone receptor-positive than for hormone receptor-negative breast cancer for BMI at every age group (eg, for BMI at age 18 to 24 years: HR per 5.0-U difference for estrogen receptor-positive and progesterone receptor-positive tumors, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.70-0.81] vs hormone receptor-negative tumors, 0.85 [95% CI: 0.76-0.95]); BMI at ages 25 to 54 years was not consistently associated with triple-negative or hormone receptor-negative breast cancer overall. Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this study suggest that increased adiposity is associated with a reduced risk of premenopausal breast cancer at a greater magnitude than previously shown and across the entire distribution of BMI. The strongest associations of risk were observed for BMI in early adulthood. Understanding the biological mechanisms underlying these associations could have important preventive potential.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.