ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2018
Exploiting delayed transitions to sustain semiarid ecosystems after catastrophic shifts.
Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Modeling tumors as complex ecosystems.iScience · 2024Review
- Biodiversity as a firewall to engineered microbiomes for restoration and conservation.Royal Society open science · 2024Article
- Evaluating the stability of artificial sand-binding vegetation by combining statistical methods and a neural network model.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Ecological complexity and the biosphere: the next 30 years.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2022Article
- Synthetic soil crusts against green-desert transitions: a spatial model.Royal Society open science · 2020Article
- Synthetic Biology for Terraformation Lessons from Mars, Earth, and the Microbiome.Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020Article
- Harnessing tipping points in complex ecological networks.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2019Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
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Abstract
Semiarid ecosystems (including arid, semiarid and dry-subhumid ecosystems) span more than 40% of extant habitats and contain a similar percentage of the human population. Theoretical models and palaeoclimatic data predict a grim future, with rapid shifts towards a desert state, with accelerated diversity losses and ecological collapses. These shifts are a consequence of the special nonlinearities resulting from ecological facilitation. Here, we investigate a simple model of semiarid ecosystems identifying the so-called ghost, which appears after a catastrophic transition from a vegetated to a desert state once a critical rate of soil degradation is overcome. The ghost involves a slowdown of transients towards the desert state, making the ecosystem seem stable even though vegetation extinction is inevitable. We use this model to show how to exploit the ecological ghosts to avoid collapse. Doing so involves the restoration of small fractions of desert areas with vegetation capable of maintaining a stable community once the catastrophic shift condition has been achieved. This intervention method is successfully tested under the presence of demographic stochastic fluctuations.
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