Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29916959›Full record

ArticleJournal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999)2018

Cost-Effectiveness of Cervical Cancer Screening in Women Living With HIV in South Africa: A Mathematical Modeling Study.

Nicole G Campos, Naomi Lince-Deroche, Carla J Chibwesha, Cynthia Firnhaber, Jennifer S Smith, Pam Michelow, Gesine Meyer-Rath, Lise Jamieson, Suzette Jordaan, Monisha Sharma and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  6. Improved cervical screening using HPV type restriction and cycle threshold limit setting with the AmpFire assay: A prospective screening cohort of women with and without HIV in Botswana.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Nicole G CamposHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Department of Health Policy and Management, Boston, MA.
Naomi Lince-DerocheHealth Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Carla J ChibweshaDivision of Global Women's Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC.
Cynthia FirnhaberClinical HIV Research Unit, Helen Joseph Hospital, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Jennifer S SmithDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC.
Pam MichelowNational Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Gesine Meyer-RathHealth Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Lise JamiesonHealth Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Department of Internal Medicine, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Suzette JordaanNational Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Monisha SharmaHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Department of Health Policy and Management, Boston, MA.
Catherine ReganHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Department of Health Policy and Management, Boston, MA.
Stephen SyHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Department of Health Policy and Management, Boston, MA.
Gui LiuDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
Vivien TsuPATH, Seattle, WA.
Jose JeronimoGlobal Coalition Against Cervical Cancer, Arlington, VA.
Jane J KimHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Department of Health Policy and Management, Boston, MA.

Funding

Comparative Modeling to Inform Cervical Cancer Control PoliciesU01CA199334 · NCI · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI BARNABAS, RUANNE VANESSA, CANFELL, KAREN · 2015 to 2019
$6.4M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA199334
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWomen with HIV face an increased risk of human papillomavirus (HPV) acquisition and persistence, cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, and invasive cervical cancer. Our objective was to determine the cost-effectiveness of different cervical cancer screening strategies among women with HIV in South Africa.

methodsWe modified a mathematical model of HPV infection and cervical disease to reflect coinfection with HIV. The model was calibrated to epidemiologic data from HIV-infected women in South Africa. Clinical and economic data were drawn from in-country data sources. The model was used to project reductions in the lifetime risk of cervical cancer and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of Pap and HPV DNA screening and management algorithms beginning at HIV diagnosis, at 1-, 2-, or 3-year intervals. Strategies with an ICER below South Africa's 2016 per capita gross domestic product (US$5270) were considered "cost-effective."

resultsHPV testing followed by treatment (test-and-treat) at 2-year intervals was the most effective strategy that was also cost-effective, reducing lifetime cancer risk by 56.6% with an ICER of US$3010 per year of life saved. Other cost-effective strategies included Pap (referral threshold: HSIL+) at 1-, 2-, and 3-year intervals, and HPV test-and-treat at 3-year intervals. Pap (ASCUS+), HPV testing with 16/18 genotyping, and HPV testing with Pap or visual triage of HPV-positive women were less effective and more costly than alternatives.

conclusionsConsidering per capita gross domestic product as the benchmark for cost-effectiveness, HPV test-and-treat is optimal in South Africa. At lower cost-effectiveness benchmarks, Pap (HSIL+) would be optimal.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisModels, TheoreticalFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMass ScreeningSouth AfricaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID29916959
PMCPMC6143200

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.