ReviewValue in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research2018
Experiences of Structured Elicitation for Model-Based Cost-Effectiveness Analyses.
Review in Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Applications of Structural Expert Elicitations for Economic Evaluations: A Systematic Review Update.PharmacoEconomics · 2026Pooled it
- Decision-Analytical Modelling of Medicines in the Middle East: A Systematic Review of Economic Evaluation Studies.Applied health economics and health policy · 2025Pooled it
- The Use of Expert Elicitation among Computational Modeling Studies in Health Research: A Systematic Review.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2022Pooled it
- Structured Expert Elicitation of Long-Term Survival in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer: A Case Study Applying Guidance from NICE Technical Support Document 26.Applied health economics and health policy · 2026Article
- An Early-Stage Decision-Analytic Health Economic Model of Above Cuff Vocalization: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Resolve?Critical care explorations · 2025Article
- Co-designing a Structured Expert Elicitation with Clinicians to Enhance Health Care Decision Making in Exercise Oncology.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2025Article
- Defining Biological and Clinical Plausibility: The DICSA Framework for Protocolized Assessment in Survival Extrapolations Across Therapeutic Areas.PharmacoEconomics · 2025Review
- Inter-facility transfers for emergency obstetrical and neonatal care in rural Madagascar: a cost-effectiveness analysis.BMJ open · 2024Article
- The role of economic evaluations in advancing HIV multipurpose prevention technologies in early-stage development.Frontiers in reproductive health · 2024Article
- Economic Evaluation of a Bioinductive Implant for the Repair of Rotator Cuff Tears Compared with Standard Surgery in Italy.Advances in therapy · 2023Article
- Potential costs and consequences associated with medication error at hospital discharge: an expert judgement study.European journal of hospital pharmacy : science and practice · 2023Observational
- New Heat and Moisture Exchangers for Laryngectomized Patients in Germany: Mixed Methods Study on the Expected Effectiveness.JMIR formative research · 2023Article
- Direct healthcare costs of non-metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer in Italy.International journal of technology assessment in health care · 2023Article
- Structured expert elicitation to inform long-term survival extrapolations using alternative parametric distributions: a case study of CAR T therapy for relapsed/ refractory multiple myeloma.BMC medical research methodology · 2022Article
- Reference Case Methods for Expert Elicitation in Health Care Decision Making.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2022Article
- Modeling Benefits, Costs, and Affordability of a Novel Gene Therapy in Hemophilia A.HemaSphere · 2022Article
- The cost-per-QALY threshold in England: Identifying structural uncertainty in the estimates.Frontiers in health services · 2022Article
- Integrating expert knowledge for dementia risk prediction in individuals with mild cognitive impairment (MCI): a study protocol.BMJ open · 2021Article
- Developing a reference protocol for structured expert elicitation in health-care decision-making: a mixed-methods study.Health technology assessment (Winchester, England) · 2021Review
- Authors' Response to: "Health Opportunity Costs and Expert Elicitation: A Comment on Soares et al." by Sampson, Firth, and Towse.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundEmpirical evidence supporting the cost-effectiveness estimates of particular health care technologies may be limited, or it may even be missing entirely. In these situations, additional information, often in the form of expert judgments, is needed to reach a decision. There are formal methods to quantify experts' beliefs, termed as structured expert elicitation (SEE), but only limited research is available in support of methodological choices. Perhaps as a consequence, the use of SEE in the context of cost-effectiveness modelling is limited.
objectivesThis article reviews applications of SEE in cost-effectiveness modelling with the aim of summarizing the basis for methodological choices made in each application and recording the difficulties and challenges reported by the authors in the design, conduct, and analyses.
methodsThe methods used in each application were extracted along with the criteria used to support methodological and practical choices and any issues or challenges discussed in the text. Issues and challenges were extracted using an open field, and then categorised and grouped for reporting.
resultsThe review demonstrates considerable heterogeneity in methods used, and authors acknowledge great methodological uncertainty in justifying their choices. Specificities of the context area emerging as potentially important in determining further methodological research in elicitation are between- expert variation and its interpretation, the fact that substantive experts in the area may not be trained in quantitative subjects, that judgments are often needed on various parameter types, the need for some form of assessment of validity, and the need for more integration with behavioural research to devise relevant debiasing strategies.
conclusionsThis review of experiences of SEE highlights a number of specificities/constraints that can shape the development of guidance and target future research efforts in this area.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.