ArticleNature2018
Loss of coral reef growth capacity to track future increases in sea level.
Article in Nature, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 69 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
69 citing papers in PubMed.
- Seabirds and native vegetation drive ecosystem processes that support atoll island resilience.Science advances · 2026Article
- Eco-geomorphic response of the Funafuti Atoll reef flat, central Pacific, to sea-level rise and tropical storms over 120 years (1898-2019).Royal Society open science · 2026Article
- The paradox of neutral carbonate budgets on coral-dominated reefs.Royal Society open science · 2026Article
- Paleorecords inform the limits of Indo-Pacific coral reef survival under accelerating sea-level rise.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Carbonate framework and sediment production across island-fringing coral reef habitats and a natural nutrient gradient.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Article
- A Pacific carbonate budgets approach reveals overall net positive production on O'ahu, Hawai'i.PloS one · 2026Article
- Article
- Puerto Rico Coral Reef Monitoring Program Water Quality Data from 2023-2025.Scientific data · 2025Article
- 2023 global heatwave causes mass mortality of a keystone coral on shallow Western Atlantic reefs.iScience · 2025Article
- Article
- Coral restoration can drive rapid increases in reef accretion potential.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Emerging skeletal growth responses of Siderastrea siderea corals to multidecadal anthropogenic impacts in Martinique, Caribbean Sea.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Declining coral calcification to enhance twenty-first-century ocean carbon uptake by gigatonnes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Anthropogenic climate change will likely outpace coral range expansion.Science advances · 2025Article
- Sound healing and beyond.Nature biotechnology · 2025Article
- Island restoration to rebuild seabird populations and amplify coral reef functioning.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025Article
- Scaling-up coral reef carbonate production: Sea-urchin bioerosion suppresses reef growth in Hawai'i.PloS one · 2025Article
- Quantifying coral reef accretion in a changing world: approaches, challenges and emerging opportunities.Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures · 2025Review
- Experimental coral reef communities transform yet persist under mitigated future ocean warming and acidification.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
9 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
- Commented on by
Authors and funding
26 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Sea-level rise (SLR) is predicted to elevate water depths above coral reefs and to increase coastal wave exposure as ecological degradation limits vertical reef growth, but projections lack data on interactions between local rates of reef growth and sea level rise. Here we calculate the vertical growth potential of more than 200 tropical western Atlantic and Indian Ocean reefs, and compare these against recent and projected rates of SLR under different Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. Although many reefs retain accretion rates close to recent SLR trends, few will have the capacity to track SLR projections under RCP4.5 scenarios without sustained ecological recovery, and under RCP8.5 scenarios most reefs are predicted to experience mean water depth increases of more than 0.5 m by 2100. Coral cover strongly predicts reef capacity to track SLR, but threshold cover levels that will be necessary to prevent submergence are well above those observed on most reefs. Urgent action is thus needed to mitigate climate, sea-level and future ecological changes in order to limit the magnitude of future reef submergence.
Indexed as
Identifiers
29904103What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.