Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29900413›Full record

ArticleEuropean stroke journal2018

Development and internal validation of a prediction rule for post-stroke infection and post-stroke pneumonia in acute stroke patients.

Willeke F Westendorp, Jan-Dirk Vermeij, Nina A Hilkens, Matthijs C Brouwer, Ale Algra, H Bart van der Worp, Diederik Wj Dippel, Diederik van de Beek, Pual J Nederkoorn

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European stroke journal, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Elevated initial blood kynurenine is associated with increased odds of post-stroke infection: Kynurenine and post-stroke infection.Journal of stroke and cerebrovascular diseases : the official journal of National Stroke Association · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Braden scale for predicting pneumonia after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.Revista da Associacao Medica Brasileira (1992) · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Willeke F Westendorp1Department of Neurology, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Jan-Dirk Vermeij1Department of Neurology, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Nina A Hilkens2Department of Neurology & Neurosurgery and Julius Center, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Matthijs C Brouwer1Department of Neurology, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Ale Algra2Department of Neurology & Neurosurgery and Julius Center, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
H Bart van der Worp3Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery, Brain Center Rudolf Magnus, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Diederik Wj Dippel4Department of Neurology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Diederik van de Beek1Department of Neurology, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Pual J Nederkoorn1Department of Neurology, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Neuroscience, Amsterdam, Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionPatients with acute stroke are at high risk for infection. These infections are associated with unfavourable outcome after stroke. A prediction rule can identify the patients at the highest risk for strategies to prevent infection. We aim to develop a prediction rule for post-stroke pneumonia and other infections in patients with acute stroke. PATIENTS AND

methodsWe used data from the Preventive Antibiotics in Stroke Study, a multicentre randomised trial comparing preventive ceftriaxone vs. standard stroke care in patients with acute stroke. Possible predictors for post-stroke pneumonia or infection were selected from the literature. Backward elimination logistic regression analysis was used to construct prediction rules for pneumonia or infection. Internal validation was performed and a risk chart was constructed. We adjusted for preventive antibiotic use.

resultsPneumonia was diagnosed in 159 of the 2538 included patients, and infection in 348. Pneumonia was predicted by higher age, male sex, pre-stroke disability, medical history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, more severe stroke, dysphagia and intracerebral haemorrhage (rather than ischaemic stroke). Infections were predicted by higher age, male sex, history of diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, more severe stroke, dysphagia, use of bladder catheter, preventive antibiotic use and intracerebral haemorrhage. With the prediction rule developed, risks for pneumonia ranged from 0.4% to 56.2% and from 1.8% to 88.0% for infection. Discrimination of the score was good (C-statistic, 0.84; 95% CI: 0.81-0.87 and 0.82; 95% CI: 0.79-0.84 for pneumonia and infection).

conclusionsThe Preventive Antibiotics in Stroke Study pneumonia and infection rule identify patients at the highest risk for post-stroke pneumonia or infection and may be used for future studies and novel therapies, after confirmation in an external population.

Indexed as

infectionpneumoniapredictionStroke

Identifiers

PMID29900413
PMCPMC5992742

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.