ArticleNature2018
Choosing the future of Antarctica.
Article in Nature, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 37 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
37 citing papers in PubMed.
- Expansion of Antarctic surface melt through the 21st century.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Southern Ocean evidence for recurring West Antarctic Ice Sheet destabilization during Marine Isotope Stage 11.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Impacts of Antarctic summer sea-ice extremes.PNAS nexus · 2025Article
- Measuring the performance of Antarctic Treaty decision-making.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025Article
- Seasonal regimes of warm Circumpolar Deep Water intrusion toward Antarctic ice shelves.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- Annals of Education: Teaching Climate Change and Global Public Health.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Surface warming from altitudinal and latitudinal amplification over Antarctica since the International Geophysical Year.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Taming a 'fuzzy beast'? Stakeholder perspectives on Antarctic science-policy knowledge exchange practices in New Zealand.PloS one · 2023Article
- Threat management priorities for conserving Antarctic biodiversity.PLoS biology · 2022Article
- Polar amplification comparison among Earth's three poles under different socioeconomic scenarios from CMIP6 surface air temperature.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Communications Is Time for Care: An Italian Monocentric Survey on Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Risk Information as Part of Cervical Cancer Screening.Journal of personalized medicine · 2022Article
- Juvenile emperor penguin range calls for extended conservation measures in the Southern Ocean.Royal Society open science · 2022Article
- High spatial and temporal variability in Antarctic ice discharge linked to ice shelf buttressing and bed geometry.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Climate drives long-term change in Antarctic Silverfish along the western Antarctic Peninsula.Communications biology · 2022Article
- Ship traffic connects Antarctica's fragile coasts to worldwide ecosystems.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Article
- Safeguarding marine life: conservation of biodiversity and ecosystems.Reviews in fish biology and fisheries · 2022Article
- Developing achievable alternate futures for key challenges during the UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development.Reviews in fish biology and fisheries · 2022Article
- Remarkably coherent population structure for a dominant Antarctic Chlorobium species.Microbiome · 2021Article
- Decadal-scale onset and termination of Antarctic ice-mass loss during the last deglaciation.Nature communications · 2021Article
- Multiple energy sources and metabolic strategies sustain microbial diversity in Antarctic desert soils.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We present two narratives on the future of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, from the perspective of an observer looking back from 2070. In the first scenario, greenhouse gas emissions remained unchecked, the climate continued to warm, and the policy response was ineffective; this had large ramifications in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, with worldwide impacts. In the second scenario, ambitious action was taken to limit greenhouse gas emissions and to establish policies that reduced anthropogenic pressure on the environment, slowing the rate of change in Antarctica. Choices made in the next decade will determine what trajectory is realized.
Indexed as
Identifiers
29899481What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.