Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29899360›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2018

Using the Baidu Search Index to Predict the Incidence of HIV/AIDS in China.

Guangye He, Yunsong Chen, Buwei Chen, Hao Wang, Li Shen, Liu Liu, Deji Suolang, Boyang Zhang, Guodong Ju, Liangliang Zhang and 4 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 50 citations in OpenAlex.

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  12. Detecting epidemiological relevance of adenoid hypertrophy, rhinosinusitis, and allergic rhinitis through an Internet search.European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Guangye HeSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China. hgy.gloria@nju.edu.cn.
Yunsong ChenSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China. yunsong.chen@nju.edu.cn.
Buwei ChenThe First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210029, China. chenbuwei@jsph.org.cn.
Hao WangDepartment of Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200065, China.
Li ShenDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Shanghai Children's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200062, China.
Liu LiuSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Deji SuolangSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7008-368X
Boyang ZhangSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Guodong JuSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Liangliang ZhangSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Sijia DuSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Xiangxue JiangSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Yu PanSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Zuntao MinSchool of Social and Behavioral Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Nanjing University · CNJohns Hopkins University – Nanjing University Center for Chinese and American Studies · CNNanjing Medical University · CNShanghai Jiao Tong University · CNTongji University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Based on a panel of 30 provinces and a timeframe from January 2009 to December 2013, we estimate the association between monthly human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immune deficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) incidence and the relevant Internet search query volumes in Baidu, the most widely used search engine among the Chinese. The pooled mean group (PMG) model show that the Baidu search index (BSI) positively predicts the increase in HIV/AIDS incidence, with a 1% increase in BSI associated with a 2.1% increase in HIV/AIDS incidence on average. This study proposes a promising method to estimate and forecast the incidence of HIV/AIDS, a type of infectious disease that is culturally sensitive and highly unevenly distributed in China; the method can be taken as a complement to a traditional HIV/AIDS surveillance system.

Indexed as

Search EngineAcquired Immunodeficiency SyndromeChinaEpidemicsGeographyHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceInternetPopulation SurveillancePrognosis

Identifiers

PMID29899360
PMCPMC5998029
OpenAlexW2805803624

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.