ArticleTobacco control2019
Tobacco industry's elaborate attempts to control a global track and trace system and fundamentally undermine the Illicit Trade Protocol.
Article in Tobacco control, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Tobacco industry pricing strategies in response to excise tax policies: a systematic review.Tobacco control · 2023Pooled it
- Illegal markets for cigarettes and e-cigarettes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Application of tobacco control experience to alcohol consumption measures.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2026Article
- Independent companies in the tobacco supply chain: transparency and environmental social governance.Tobacco control · 2026Article
- The epidemiology and burden of smoking in countries of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), 1990-2021: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.The Lancet. Public health · 2025Article
- Alcohol industry involvement in the delayed South Africa Draft Liquor Amendment Bill 2016: a case study based on freedom of information requests.Globalization and health · 2025Article
- 20th anniversary of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control coming into force: time for a step change in ambition.Lancet (London, England) · 2025Article
- Attitudes and Exposure to Illicit Tobacco in England, 2022.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024Article
- A Systematic Investigation of Tobacco Industry Sourced Data Relating to Illicit Tobacco Trade Featured in Pakistan's Media Coverage (2015-2020).Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024Article
- The Perils of Partnership: Interactions Between Public Health England, Drinkaware, and the Portman Group Surrounding the Drink Free Days Campaign.International journal of health policy and management · 2024Article
- No smoking gun: tobacco taxation and smuggling in Sierra Leone.Tobacco control · 2023Article
- Taxation of tobacco, alcohol, and sugar-sweetened beverages: reviewing the evidence and dispelling the myths.BMJ global health · 2023Review
- Advocacy counterstrategies to tobacco industry interference in policymaking: a scoping review of peer-reviewed literature.Globalization and health · 2023Article
- 'They have a right to participate as a stakeholder': Article 5.3 implementation and government interactions with the tobacco industry in Ethiopia.Tobacco control · 2022Article
- Meat, money and messaging: How the environmental and health harms of red and processed meat consumption are framed by the meat industry.Food policy · 2022Article
- Illicit trade in tobacco products: recent trends and coming challenges.Tobacco control · 2022Article
- Analysis of submissions to the EU's public consultation on tobacco traceability and security features.Tobacco control · 2021Article
- Implementation of tobacco control measures in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, 2008-2020.Substance abuse treatment, prevention, and policy · 2021Article
- Tracking and tracing the tobacco industry: potential tobacco industry influence over the EU's system for tobacco traceability and security features.Tobacco control · 2020Article
- Illicit tobacco trade is 'booming': UK newspaper coverage of data funded by transnational tobacco companies.Tobacco control · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
- Commented on by
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThe Illicit Trade Protocol (ITP) requires a global track and trace (T&T) system to reduce tobacco smuggling. Given the tobacco industry's (TI) historical involvement in tobacco smuggling, it stipulates that T&T 'shall not be performed by or delegated to the tobacco industry'. This paper explores the rationale for & nature of the TI's effors to influence the ITP & its T&T system.
methodsAnalysis of leaked TI documents and publicly available data; ,investigation of front groups, trademark and patent ownership.
findingsGrowing & diverse sources of evidence indicate that the TI remains involved in tobacco smuggling and that TI cigarettes account for around two-thirds of the illicit cigarette market. The TI therefore has a vested interest in controlling the global T&T system aimed to curtail this behaviour. To this end, Philip Morris International (PMI) adapted its pack marker system, Codentify, to meet T&T requirements, licensed it for free to its three major competitors who then collectively promoted it to governments using front groups and third parties including companies claiming to be independent despite clear TI links. PMI also sought to suggest Codentify was independent by selling some parts of its intellectual property on Codentify while retaining others, leaving a complex web of shared interests. In Africa, British American Tobacco used payments to obtain data suggesting its smaller competitor companies were evading taxes and secure influence with tax authorities. Regulatory capture has been enhanced by a public relations effort involving TI funding for conferences, training, research, and international police and anti-corruption organisations. Collectively this has created public messaging and a powerful network of organisations supportive of the TI's misleading postion on illicit.
conclusionsGovernments should assume the TI seeks to control T&T systems in order to avoid scrutiny and minimise excise tax payments and that any T&T system based on Codentify, on intellectual property currently or previously owned by the TI, or being promoted or implemented by companies with TI links, is incompatible with the ITP and would not serve to reduce illicit trade.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.