Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29899077›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2018

To adapt or go extinct? The fate of megafaunal palm fruits under past global change.

Renske E Onstein, William J Baker, Thomas L P Couvreur, Søren Faurby, Leonel Herrera-Alsina, Jens-Christian Svenning, W Daniel Kissling

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  4. Article
  5. Dispersal-diversity feedbacks and their consequences for macroecological patterns.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Molecular Control of Oil Metabolism in the Endosperm of Seeds.International journal of molecular sciences · 2021
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Renske E OnsteinInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED), University of Amsterdam, PO Box 94248, 1090 GE Amsterdam, The Netherlands onsteinre@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0002-2295-3510
William J BakerRoyal Botanic Gardens, Kew, Richmond, Surrey, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6727-1831
Thomas L P CouvreurIRD, DIADE, Univ. Montpellier, Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-8509-6587
Søren FaurbyDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Gothenburg, Box 461, 405 30, Göteborg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-2974-2628
Leonel Herrera-AlsinaGroningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-0474-3592
Jens-Christian SvenningCenter for Biodiversity Dynamics in a Changing World (BIOCHANGE), Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-3415-0862
W Daniel KisslingInstitute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics (IBED), University of Amsterdam, PO Box 94248, 1090 GE Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-7274-6755

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Past global change may have forced animal-dispersed plants with megafaunal fruits to adapt or go extinct, but these processes have remained unexplored at broad spatio-temporal scales. Here, we combine phylogenetic, distributional and fruit size data for more than 2500 palm (Arecaceae) species in a time-slice diversification analysis to quantify how extinction and adaptation have changed over deep time. Our results indicate that extinction rates of palms with megafaunal fruits have increased in the New World since the onset of the Quaternary (2.6 million years ago). In contrast, Old World palms show a Quaternary increase in transition rates towards evolving small fruits from megafaunal fruits. We suggest that Quaternary climate oscillations and concurrent habitat fragmentation and defaunation of megafaunal frugivores in the New World have reduced seed dispersal distances and geographical ranges of palms with megafaunal fruits, resulting in their extinction. The increasing adaptation to smaller fruits in the Old World could reflect selection for seed dispersal by ocean-crossing frugivores (e.g. medium-sized birds and bats) to colonize Indo-Pacific islands against a background of Quaternary sea-level fluctuations. Our macro-evolutionary results suggest that megafaunal fruits are increasingly being lost from tropical ecosystems, either due to extinctions or by adapting to smaller fruit sizes.

Indexed as

Adaptation, BiologicalBiological EvolutionExtinction, BiologicalSeed DispersalAnimalsArecaceaeBirdsFood ChainFruitMammalsPhylogenybiodiversityextinctionfrugivoryglobal changemegafauna

Identifiers

PMID29899077
PMCPMC6015859

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.