ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2018
Structural stability as a consistent predictor of phenological events.
Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Larger habitat islands maintain more persistent mutualistic assemblages.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Plant-Pollinator Interaction Rewiring Boosts Year-to-Year Community Persistence.Ecology letters · 2026Article
- Stability of Ecological Systems: A Theoretical Review.Physics reports · 2024Article
- A spatially structured mathematical model of the gut microbiome reveals factors that increase community stability.iScience · 2023Article
- Rapid monitoring of ecological persistence.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Towards a system-level causative knowledge of pollinator communities.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2022Review
- Article
- Experimental warming differentially affects vegetative and reproductive phenology of tundra plants.Nature communications · 2021Article
- Telling ecological networks apart by their structure: An environment-dependent approach.PLoS computational biology · 2020Article
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2 authors.
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Abstract
The timing of the first and last seasonal appearance of a species in a community typically follows a pattern that is governed by temporal factors. While it has been shown that changes in the environment are linked to phenological changes, the direction of this link appears elusive and context-dependent. Thus, finding consistent predictors of phenological events is of central importance for a better assessment of expected changes in the temporal dynamics of ecological communities. Here we introduce a measure of structural stability derived from species interaction networks as an estimator of the expected range of environmental conditions compatible with the existence of a community. We test this measure as a predictor of changes in species richness recorded on a daily basis in a high-arctic plant-pollinator community during two spring seasons. We find that our measure of structural stability is the only consistent predictor of changes in species richness among different ecological and environmental variables. Our findings suggest that measures based on the notion of structural stability can synthesize the expected variation of environmental conditions tolerated by a community, and explain more consistently the phenological changes observed in ecological communities.
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