ArticleNature2018
Pandemics: spend on surveillance, not prediction.
Article in Nature, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 87 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
87 citing papers in PubMed.
- Article
- Post-pandemic changes in population immunity have reduced the likelihood of emergence of zoonotic coronaviruses.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Assessing global pandemic risks from emerging infectious diseases and high containment laboratory leaks: A country-level spatial network SIR model analysis.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2025Article
- Serologic evidence of orthomarburgviruses and an orthoebolavirus in frugivorous Malagasy bats.One health outlook · 2025Article
- Article
- Hantavirus infections and small mammal diversity in Chile: No differences between protected and unprotected areas highlight the need for public health strategies.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Early epidemiological characteristics explain the chance of population-level virus persistence following spillover events.PLoS biology · 2025Article
- Review
- Pandemic and epidemic intelligence innovation forum: bridging gaps in epidemic intelligence through global collaboration.BMC proceedings · 2025Article
- Pathways to strengthening the epidemic intelligence workforce.BMC proceedings · 2025Article
- Gaps and opportunities for data systems and economics to support priority setting for climate-sensitive infectious diseases in sub-Saharan Africa: A rapid scoping review.PLOS global public health · 2025Article
- Modeling the velocity of evolving lineages and predicting dispersal patterns.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024Article
- Modeling the velocity of evolving lineages and predicting dispersal patterns.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2024Article
- Virology-The next fifty years.Cell · 2024Article
- A Bayesian System to Detect and Track Outbreaks of Influenza-Like Illnesses Including Novel Diseases: Algorithm Development and Validation.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Quantifying the risk of spillover reduction programs for human health.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Navigating Novel Viral Challenges: Understanding, Tracking, and Mitigating Emerging Threats.Microorganisms · 2024Article
- Combining Digital and Molecular Approaches Using Health and Alternate Data Sources in a Next-Generation Surveillance System for Anticipating Outbreaks of Pandemic Potential.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Temporal Dynamics, Discovery, and Emergence of Human-Transmissible RNA Viruses.Molecular biology and evolution · 2024Article
- Article
27 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
- Commented on by
Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
PubMed holds no abstract for this paper.
Indexed as
Identifiers
29880819What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.