Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29860287›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2018

Assessing Strategies Against Gambiense Sleeping Sickness Through Mathematical Modeling.

Kat S Rock, Martial L Ndeffo-Mbah, Soledad Castaño, Cody Palmer, Abhishek Pandey, Katherine E Atkins, Joseph M Ndung'u, T Déirdre Hollingsworth, Alison Galvani, Caitlin Bever and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

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  20. Counting Down the 2020 Goals for 9 Neglected Tropical Diseases: What Have We Learned From Quantitative Analysis and Transmission Modeling?Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Kat S RockZeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, Coventry, United Kingdom.
Martial L Ndeffo-MbahYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Soledad CastañoDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Switzerland.
Cody PalmerInstitute of Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington.
Abhishek PandeyYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Katherine E AtkinsDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, United Kingdom.
Joseph M Ndung'uFoundation for Innovative New Diagnostics, Geneva, Switzerland.
T Déirdre HollingsworthZeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, Coventry, United Kingdom.
Alison GalvaniYale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Caitlin BeverInstitute of Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington.
Nakul ChitnisDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Switzerland.
Matt J KeelingZeeman Institute for Systems Biology and Infectious Disease Epidemiology Research, Coventry, United Kingdom.

Funding

Accelerating viral outbreak detection in US cities using mechanistic models, machine learning and diverse geospatial dataR01AI151176 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GALVANI, ALISON P, MEYERS, LAUREN ANCEL · 2020 to 2024
$3.9M
Evaluating the social influences that impact vaccination decisionsU01GM105627 · NIGMS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GALVANI, ALISON P · 2013 to 2017
$1.6M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI151176NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM105627
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Control of gambiense sleeping sickness relies predominantly on passive and active screening of people, followed by treatment. Methods: Mathematical modeling explores the potential of 3 complementary interventions in high- and low-transmission settings. Results: Intervention strategies that included vector control are predicted to halt transmission most quickly. Targeted active screening, with better and more focused coverage, and enhanced passive surveillance, with improved access to diagnosis and treatment, are both estimated to avert many new infections but, when used alone, are unlikely to halt transmission before 2030 in high-risk settings. Conclusions: There was general model consensus in the ranking of the 3 complementary interventions studied, although with discrepancies between the quantitative predictions due to differing epidemiological assumptions within the models. While these predictions provide generic insights into improving control, the most effective strategy in any situation depends on the specific epidemiology in the region and the associated costs.

Indexed as

Insect ControlModels, TheoreticalAnimalsEpidemiological MonitoringHumansInsect VectorsMass ScreeningTrypanosoma brucei gambienseTrypanosomiasis, AfricanTsetse Flies

Identifiers

PMID29860287
PMCPMC5982708

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.