Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29860286›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2018

Are Alternative Strategies Required to Accelerate the Global Elimination of Lymphatic Filariasis? Insights From Mathematical Models.

Wilma A Stolk, Joaquin M Prada, Morgan E Smith, Periklis Kontoroupis, Anneke S de Vos, Panayiota Touloupou, Michael A Irvine, Paul Brown, Swaminathan Subramanian, Marielle Kloek and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  7. How Does the Proportion of Never Treatment Influence the Success of Mass Drug Administration Programs for the Elimination of Lymphatic Filariasis?Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Subnational Projections of Lymphatic Filariasis Elimination Targets in Ethiopia to Support National Level Policy.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Article
  10. An Ensemble Framework for Projecting the Impact of Lymphatic Filariasis Interventions Across Sub-Saharan Africa at a Fine Spatial Scale.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Article
  11. Diethylcarbamazine elicits CaAntimicrobial agents and chemotherapy · 2023
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Evaluation of the in vitro susceptibility of various filarial nematodes to emodepside.International journal for parasitology. Drugs and drug resistance · 2021
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Wilma A StolkDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Joaquin M PradaMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.
Morgan E SmithDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, South Bend, Indiana.
Periklis KontoroupisDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Anneke S de VosDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Panayiota TouloupouDepartment of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.
Michael A IrvineUniversity of British Columbia and British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada.
Paul BrownMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.
Swaminathan SubramanianVector Control Research Centre, Indian Council of Medical Research, Indira Nagar, Puducherry.
Marielle KloekDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
E MichaelDepartment of Biological Sciences, University of Notre Dame, South Bend, Indiana.
T Deirdre HollingsworthMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.
Sake J de VlasDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Centre Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: With the 2020 target year for elimination of lymphatic filariasis (LF) approaching, there is an urgent need to assess how long mass drug administration (MDA) programs with annual ivermectin + albendazole (IA) or diethylcarbamazine + albendazole (DA) would still have to be continued, and how elimination can be accelerated. We addressed this using mathematical modeling. Methods: We used 3 structurally different mathematical models for LF transmission (EPIFIL, LYMFASIM, TRANSFIL) to simulate trends in microfilariae (mf) prevalence for a range of endemic settings, both for the current annual MDA strategy and alternative strategies, assessing the required duration to bring mf prevalence below the critical threshold of 1%. Results: Three annual MDA rounds with IA or DA and good coverage (≥65%) are sufficient to reach the threshold in settings that are currently at mf prevalence <4%, but the required duration increases with increasing mf prevalence. Switching to biannual MDA or employing triple-drug therapy (ivermectin, diethylcarbamazine, and albendazole [IDA]) could reduce program duration by about one-third. Optimization of coverage reduces the time to elimination and is particularly important for settings with a history of poorly implemented MDA (low coverage, high systematic noncompliance). Conclusions: Modeling suggests that, in several settings, current annual MDA strategies will be insufficient to achieve the 2020 LF elimination targets, and programs could consider policy adjustment to accelerate, guided by recent monitoring and evaluation data. Biannual treatment and IDA hold promise in reducing program duration, provided that coverage is good, but their efficacy remains to be confirmed by more extensive field studies.

Indexed as

Disease EradicationModels, TheoreticalAlbendazoleAnimalsComputer SimulationDiethylcarbamazineDrug Therapy, CombinationElephantiasis, FilarialFilaricidesHumansIvermectinMass Drug AdministrationMicrofilariaeAlbendazoleDiethylcarbamazineFilaricidesIvermectin

Identifiers

PMID29860286
PMCPMC5982795

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.