Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29851948›Full record

ArticlePLoS biology2018

Import volumes and biosecurity interventions shape the arrival rate of fungal pathogens.

Benjamin A Sikes, Jennifer L Bufford, Philip E Hulme, Jerry A Cooper, Peter R Johnston, Richard P Duncan

Open access · goldAbstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS biology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
8.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 96 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  4. Trouble on the horizon: anticipating biological invasions through futures thinking.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2025
    Review
  5. Review
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  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Current status ofPersoonia · 2021
    Article
  12. Article
  13. The persistent threat of emerging plant disease pandemics to global food security.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Scientists' warning on invasive alien species.Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society · 2020
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Microbial invasions in terrestrial ecosystems.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2019
    Review
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Benjamin A SikesDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Kansas Biological Survey, University of Kansas, Lawrence, Kansas, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0774-2624
Jennifer L BuffordBio-Protection Research Centre, Lincoln University, Lincoln, New Zealand.
Philip E HulmeBio-Protection Research Centre, Lincoln University, Lincoln, New Zealand.
Jerry A CooperLandcare Research, Lincoln, New Zealand.
Peter R JohnstonLandcare Research, Auckland, New Zealand.
Richard P DuncanBio-Protection Research Centre, Lincoln University, Lincoln, New Zealand.
Lincoln University · NZManaaki Whenua – Landcare Research · NZUniversity of Kansas · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Global trade and the movement of people accelerate biological invasions by spreading species worldwide. Biosecurity measures seek to allow trade and passenger movements while preventing incursions that could lead to the establishment of unwanted pests, pathogens, and weeds. However, few data exist to evaluate whether changes in trade volumes, passenger arrivals, and biosecurity measures have altered rates of establishment of nonnative species over time. This is particularly true for pathogens, which pose significant risks to animal and plant health and are consequently a major focus of biosecurity efforts but are difficult to detect. Here, we use a database of all known plant pathogen associations recorded in New Zealand to estimate the rate at which new fungal pathogens arrived and established on 131 economically important plant species over the last 133 years. We show that the annual arrival rate of new fungal pathogens increased from 1880 to about 1980 in parallel with increasing import trade volume but subsequently stabilised despite continued rapid growth in import trade and recent rapid increases in international passenger arrivals. Nevertheless, while pathogen arrival rates for crop and pasture species have declined in recent decades, arrival rates have increased for forestry and fruit tree species. These contrasting trends between production sectors reflect differences in biosecurity effort and suggest that targeted biosecurity can slow pathogen arrival and establishment despite increasing trade and international movement of people.

Indexed as

FungiCommerceCrops, AgriculturalHistory, 19th CenturyHistory, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyIntroduced SpeciesNew ZealandPlant DiseasesSecurity MeasuresTrees

Identifiers

PMID29851948
PMCPMC5978781
OpenAlexW2805586073

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.