Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29851445›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of managed care2018

Changes in specialty care use and leakage in Medicare accountable care organizations.

Michael L Barnett, J Michael McWilliams

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of managed care, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Population turnover and leakage in commercial ACOs.The American journal of managed care · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Michael L BarnettDepartment of Health Care Policy and Management, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Ave, Kresge 411, Boston, MA 02115. Email: mbarnett@hsph.harvard.edu.
J Michael McWilliams

Funding

Tradeoffs in the Design of Public Long-Term Care BenefitsP01AG032952 · NIA · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI John Michael McWilliams · 2009 to 2026
$39.0M
NIA NIH HHS P01 AG032952
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesReducing leakage to outside specialists has been promoted as a key strategy for accountable care organizations (ACOs). We sought to examine changes in specialty care leakage and use associated with the Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP). STUDY

designAnalyses of trends in ACOs from 2010 to 2014 and quasi-experimental difference-in-differences analyses comparing changes for ACOs versus local non-ACO providers from before until after the start of ACO contracts, stratified by ACO specialty composition and year of MSSP entry.

methodsWe used Medicare claims for a 20% sample of beneficiaries attributed to ACOs or non-ACO providers. The main beneficiary-level outcome was the annual count of new specialist visits. ACO-level outcomes included the proportion of visits for ACO-attributed patients outside of the ACO (leakage) and proportion of ACO Medicare outpatient revenue devoted to ACO-attributed patients (contract penetration).

resultsLeakage of specialist visits decreased minimally from 2010 to 2014 among ACOs. Contract penetration also changed minimally but differed substantially by specialty composition (85% for the most primary care-oriented quartile vs 47% for the most specialty-oriented quartile). For the most primary care-oriented quartile of ACOs in 2 of 3 entry cohorts, MSSP participation was associated with differential reductions in new specialist visits (-0.04 visits/beneficiary in 2014 for the 2012 cohort; -5.4%; P <.001). For more specialty-oriented ACOs, differential changes in specialist visits were not statistically significant.

conclusionsLeakage of specialty care changed minimally in the MSSP, suggesting ineffective efforts to reduce leakage. MSSP participation was associated with decreases in new specialty visits among primary care-oriented ACOs.

Indexed as

Accountable Care OrganizationsMedicareAgedFee-for-Service PlansHealth Services ResearchHumansReferral and ConsultationSpecializationUnited States

Identifiers

PMID29851445
PMCPMC5986093

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.