ArticleSurgery2018
Commercial quality "awards" are not a strong indicator of quality surgical care.
Article in Surgery, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- Data resource profile: State Inpatient Databases.International journal of epidemiology · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
13 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundThis study aimed to determine whether publicized hospital rankings can be used to predict surgical outcomes.
methodsPatients undergoing one of nine surgical procedures were identified, using the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Database for Florida and New York 2011-2013 and merged with hospital data from the American Hospital Association Annual Survey. Nine quality designations were analyzed as possible predictors of inpatient mortality and postoperative complications, using logistic regression, decision trees, and support vector machines.
resultsWe identified 229,657 patients within 177 hospitals. Decision trees were the highest performing machine learning algorithm for predicting inpatient mortality and postoperative complications (accuracy 0.83, P<.001). The top 3 variables associated with low surgical mortality (relative impact) were Hospital Compare (42), total procedure volume (16) and, Joint Commission (12). When analyzed separately for each individual procedure, hospital quality awards were not predictors of postoperative complications for 7 of the 9 studied procedures. However, when grouping together procedures with a volume-outcome relationship, hospital ranking becomes a significant predictor of postoperative complications.
conclusionHospital quality rankings are not a reliable indicator of quality for all surgical procedures. Hospital and provider quality must be evaluated with an emphasis on creating consistent, reliable, and accurate measures of quality that translate to improved patient outcomes.
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