Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29796748›Full record

ArticleDiabetologia2018

Multiplex proteomics for prediction of major cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes.

Christoph Nowak, Axel C Carlsson, Carl Johan Östgren, Fredrik H Nyström, Moudud Alam, Tobias Feldreich, Johan Sundström, Juan-Jesus Carrero, Jerzy Leppert, Pär Hedberg and 7 more

2 registry-linked trialsOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetologia, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 36 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
5.4field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01452165 completednot on this map

Observational Study on Cardiac Morphology and Function in Patients With Peripheral Artery Disease in Vastmanland County, Sweden(PADVa).

TypeobservationalSponsorUppsala UniversityRan2006 to 2011Enrolled457ConditionsPeripheral Vascular Diseases, Heart Failure, Ventricular Dysfunction
NCT01452178 completednot on this map

Observational Study on Peripheral Vascular Disease, Glucometabolic Status, and Type D Personality in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction.

TypeobservationalSponsorUppsala UniversityRan2005 to 2011Enrolled1,008ConditionsAcute Myocardial Infarction, Peripheral Artery Disease, Diabetes
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 62 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Christoph NowakDivision of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society (NVS), Karolinska Institutet, Alfred Nobels Allé 23, SE 14183, Huddinge, Sweden.
Axel C CarlssonDivision of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society (NVS), Karolinska Institutet, Alfred Nobels Allé 23, SE 14183, Huddinge, Sweden.
Carl Johan ÖstgrenDepartment of Medical and Health Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.
Fredrik H NyströmDepartment of Medical and Health Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.
Moudud AlamSchool of Technology and Business Studies/Statistics, Dalarna University, Falun, Sweden.
Tobias FeldreichSchool of Health and Social Studies, Dalarna University, Falun, Sweden.
Johan SundströmDepartment of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Juan-Jesus CarreroDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Jerzy LeppertCentre for Clinical Research, Uppsala University, Västerås, Sweden.
Pär HedbergCentre for Clinical Research, Uppsala University, Västerås, Sweden.
Egil HenriksenCentre for Clinical Research, Uppsala University, Västerås, Sweden.
Antonio C CordeiroDepartment of Hypertension and Nephrology, Dante Pazzanese Institute of Cardiology, São Paulo, Brazil.
Vilmantas GiedraitisDepartment of Public Health and Caring Sciences, Geriatrics, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Lars LindDepartment of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Erik IngelssonDepartment of Medicine, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA.
Tove FallDepartment of Medical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Johan ÄrnlövDivision of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society (NVS), Karolinska Institutet, Alfred Nobels Allé 23, SE 14183, Huddinge, Sweden. johan.arnlov@ki.se.
Uppsala University · SEDalarna University · SEKarolinska Institutet · SELinköping University · SEInstituto Dante Pazzanese de Cardiologia · BRStanford University · US

Funding

European Union Horizon 2020 634869Hjärt-Lungfonden 20150429Sparbanksstiftelsen Nya 932Vetenskapsrådet 2015-03477
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisMultiplex proteomics could improve understanding and risk prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in type 2 diabetes. This study assessed 80 cardiovascular and inflammatory proteins for biomarker discovery and prediction of MACE in type 2 diabetes.

methodsWe combined data from six prospective epidemiological studies of 30-77-year-old individuals with type 2 diabetes in whom 80 circulating proteins were measured by proximity extension assay. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression was used in a discovery/replication design to identify biomarkers for incident MACE. We used gradient-boosted machine learning and lasso regularised Cox regression in a random 75% training subsample to assess whether adding proteins to risk factors included in the Swedish National Diabetes Register risk model would improve the prediction of MACE in the separate 25% test subsample.

resultsOf 1211 adults with type 2 diabetes (32% women), 211 experienced a MACE over a mean (±SD) of 6.4 ± 2.3 years. We replicated associations (<5% false discovery rate) between risk of MACE and eight proteins: matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-12, IL-27 subunit α (IL-27a), kidney injury molecule (KIM)-1, fibroblast growth factor (FGF)-23, protein S100-A12, TNF receptor (TNFR)-1, TNFR-2 and TNF-related apoptosis-inducing ligand receptor (TRAIL-R)2. Addition of the 80-protein assay to established risk factors improved discrimination in the separate test sample from 0.686 (95% CI 0.682, 0.689) to 0.748 (95% CI 0.746, 0.751). A sparse model of 20 added proteins achieved a C statistic of 0.747 (95% CI 0.653, 0.842) in the test sample. CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationWe identified eight protein biomarkers, four of which are novel, for risk of MACE in community residents with type 2 diabetes, and found improved risk prediction by combining multiplex proteomics with an established risk model. Multiprotein arrays could be useful in identifying individuals with type 2 diabetes who are at highest risk of a cardiovascular event.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAtherosclerosisBiomarkersCardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleFibroblast Growth Factor-23HumansInflammationMaleMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsProteomicsRisk FactorsSwedenBiomarkersFGF23 protein, humanFibroblast Growth Factor-23BiomarkersMajor adverse cardiovascular eventProteomicsRiskType 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID29796748
PMCPMC6061158
OpenAlexW2804216646

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.