Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29794232›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2019

Association between tax structure and cigarette consumption: findings from the International Tobacco Control Policy Evaluation (ITC) Project.

Ce Shang, Hye Myung Lee, Frank J Chaloupka, Geoffrey T Fong, Mary Thompson, Richard J O'Connor

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. How tax structures for retail cannabis shape cannabis use among youth and young adults: evidence from a volumetric choice experiment.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
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  12. The pass-through of alcohol excise taxes to prices in OECD countries.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2020
    Article
  13. Article
  14. HIV and cardiovascular disease.The lancet. HIV · 2020
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Ce ShangHealth Policy Center, Institute for Health Research and Policy, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Hye Myung LeeDivision of Health Policy and Administration, School of Public Health, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Frank J ChaloupkaHealth Policy Center, Institute for Health Research and Policy, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Geoffrey T FongDepartment of Psychology, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.
Mary ThompsonDepartment of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.
Richard J O'ConnorDivision of Cancer Prevention and Population Sciences, Department of Health Behavior, Roswell Park Cancer Institute, Buffalo, New York, USA.

Funding

Vaporized Nicotine Product Initiation Among Youth in the US, Canada, and England: Methods to Predict Uptake and Policy EfficacyP01CA200512 · NCI · MEDICAL UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH CAROLINA · PI FONG, GEOFFREY T · 2016 to 2025
$25.3M
Variation in Cigarettes, Tobacco use Behaviors and Exposures in ITC CountriesP01CA138389 · NCI · ROSWELL PARK CANCER INSTITUTE CORP · PI CUMMINGS, KENNETH MICHAEL · 2009 to 2013
$13.4M
Project 3: Policy Effects on Cigarette Design, Emissions &BehaviorP50CA111236 · NCI · ROSWELL PARK CANCER INSTITUTE CORP · PI CUMMINGS, KENNETH MICHAEL · 2004 to 2009
$8.2M
International Tobacco Policy SurveyR01CA100362 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF WATERLOO · PI FONG, GEOFFREY T · 2005 to 2013
$4.7M
Tobacco Control Policy Evaluation in China and South Korea: The ITC Asia ProjectR01CA125116 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF WATERLOO · PI FONG, GEOFFREY T · 2007 to 2011
$2.8M
Effects of Graphic Warning Labels on Adolescent SmokingR01CA090955 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF WATERLOO · PI FONG, GEOFFREY T · 2002 to 2004
$369k
US and International Evidence on Factors Leading to Tax Avoidance and Evasion and Their Impact on Drinking Behaviors and ConsequencesK99AA024810 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI SHANG, CE · 2016 to 2017
$325k
Cancer Research UK C25586/A19540Cancer Research UK C312/A3726Cancer Research UK C312/A6465Cancer Research UK C321/A11039CIHR 118096CIHR FDN-148477CIHR MOP-115016CIHR MOP-57897CIHR MOP-79551NCI NIH HHS P01 CA138389NCI NIH HHS P01 CA200512NCI NIH HHS P50 CA111236NCI NIH HHS R01 CA090955NCI NIH HHS R01 CA100362NCI NIH HHS R01 CA125116NIAAA NIH HHS K99 AA024810
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecent studies show that greater price variability and more opportunities for tax avoidance are associated with tax structures that depart from a specific uniform one. These findings indicate that tax structures other than a specific uniform one may lead to more cigarette consumption.

objectiveThis paper aims to examine how cigarette tax structure is associated with cigarette consumption.

methodsWe used survey data taken from the International Tobacco Control Policy Evaluation Project in 17 countries to conduct the analysis. Self-reported cigarette consumption was aggregated to average measures for each surveyed country and wave. The effect of tax structures on cigarette consumption was estimated using generalised estimating equations after adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, average taxes and year fixed effects.

findingsOur study provides important empirical evidence of a relationship between tax structure and cigarette consumption. We find that a change from a specific to an ad valorem structure is associated with a 6%-11% higher cigarette consumption. In addition, a change from uniform to tiered structure is associated with a 34%-65% higher cigarette consumption. The results are consistent with existing evidence and suggest that a uniform and specific tax structure is the most effective tax structure for reducing tobacco consumption.

Indexed as

InternationalityCigarette SmokingCommerceFemaleHumansMaleSelf ReportTaxeseconomicsglobal healthtaxation

Identifiers

PMID29794232
PMCPMC6702940

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.