Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29794088›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2018

Health economic evaluation of a serum-based blood test for brain tumour diagnosis: exploration of two clinical scenarios.

Ewan Gray, Holly J Butler, Ruth Board, Paul M Brennan, Anthony J Chalmers, Timothy Dawson, John Goodden, Willie Hamilton, Mark G Hegarty, Allan James and 9 more

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Interventions to reduce the time to diagnosis of brain tumours.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2020
    Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Review
  4. Observational
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. The Perils of Molecular Interpretations from Vibrational Spectra of Complex Samples.Angewandte Chemie (International ed. in English) · 2024
    Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Advances in Mass Spectrometry of Gangliosides Expressed in Brain Cancers.International journal of molecular sciences · 2024
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Liquid biopsies: the future of cancer early detection.Journal of translational medicine · 2023
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Ewan Gray *Health Improvement Scotland, Glasgow, UK.
Holly J Butler *Department of Pure and Applied Chemistry, University of Strathclyde Technology and Innovation Centre, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8988-0811
Ruth BoardRosemere Cancer Centre, Lancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Royal Preston Hospital, Preston, UK.
Paul M BrennanDepartment of Clinical Neurosciences, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.
Anthony J ChalmersBeatson West of Scotland Cancer Centre, Glasgow, UK.
Timothy DawsonNeurosurgery Department, Lancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Royal Preston Hospital, Preston, UK.
John GooddenNeurosurgery Department, Leeds General Infirmary, Leeds, UK.
Willie HamiltonPrimary Care Diagnostics, University of Exeter Medical School, College House, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.
Mark G HegartyDepartment of Pure and Applied Chemistry, University of Strathclyde Technology and Innovation Centre, Glasgow, UK.
Allan JamesInstitute of Molecular Cell and Systems Biology, Glasgow, UK.
Michael D JenkinsonNeurosurgery, The Walton Centre NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
David KernickSt Thomas' Medical Group, Exeter, UK.
Elvira LekkaNeurosurgery Department, Lancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Royal Preston Hospital, Preston, UK.
Laurent J LivermoreDepartment of Neurosurgery, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, UK.
Samantha J MillsNeurosurgery, The Walton Centre NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
Kevin O'NeillJohn Fulcher Neuro-Oncology Laboratory, Imperial College, London, UK.
David S PalmerClinSpec Diagnostics Limited, University of Strathlcyde, Technology and Innovation Centre, Glasgow, UK.
Babar VaqasJohn Fulcher Neuro-Oncology Laboratory, Imperial College, London, UK.
Matthew J BakerDepartment of Pure and Applied Chemistry, University of Strathclyde Technology and Innovation Centre, Glasgow, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo determine the potential costs and health benefits of a serum-based spectroscopic triage tool for brain tumours, which could be developed to reduce diagnostic delays in the current clinical pathway.

designA model-based health pre-trial economic assessment. Decision tree models were constructed based on simplified diagnostic pathways. Models were populated with parameters identified from rapid reviews of the literature and clinical expert opinion.

settingExplored as a test in both primary and secondary care (neuroimaging) in the UK health service, as well as application to the USA.

participantsCalculations based on an initial cohort of 10 000 patients. In primary care, it is estimated that the volume of tests would approach 75 000 per annum. The volume of tests in secondary care is estimated at 53 000 per annum.

main outcome measuresThe primary outcome measure was quality-adjusted life-years (QALY), which were employed to derive incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) in a cost-effectiveness analysis.

resultsResults indicate that using a blood-based spectroscopic test in both scenarios has the potential to be highly cost-effective in a health technology assessment agency decision-making process, as ICERs were well below standard threshold values of £20 000-£30 000 per QALY. This test may be cost-effective in both scenarios with test sensitivities and specificities as low as 80%; however, the price of the test would need to be lower (less than approximately £40).

conclusionUse of this test as triage tool in primary care has the potential to be both more effective and cost saving for the health service. In secondary care, this test would also be deemed more effective than the current diagnostic pathway.

Indexed as

Models, EconomicBrain NeoplasmsContinuity of Patient CareCost-Benefit AnalysisCritical PathwaysHematologic TestsHumansPrimary Health CareQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSensitivity and SpecificityTechnology Assessment, BiomedicalTriageUnited Kingdomadult oncologybiophysicshealth economicsneurological oncologyneurology

Identifiers

PMID29794088
PMCPMC5988134

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.