Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29793633›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American College of Cardiology2018

Trends in Long-Term Mortality After Congenital Heart Surgery.

Logan G Spector, Jeremiah S Menk, Jessica H Knight, Courtney McCracken, Amanda S Thomas, Jeffrey M Vinocur, Matthew E Oster, James D St Louis, James H Moller, Lazaros Kochilas

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 116 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
116citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

116 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  19. Association of Rurality With Mortality After Congenital Heart Surgery.Circulation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes · 2025
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56 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Logan G SpectorDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Jeremiah S MenkBiostatistical Design and Analysis Center, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Jessica H KnightDepartment of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine and Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia.
Courtney McCrackenDepartment of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine and Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia.
Amanda S ThomasDepartment of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine and Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia.
Jeffrey M VinocurDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry, Rochester, New York.
Matthew E OsterDepartment of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine and Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia.
James D St LouisDepartment of Pediatric Surgery, University of Missouri-Kansas City School of Medicine, Kansas City, Missouri.
James H MollerDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Lazaros KochilasDepartment of Pediatrics, Emory University School of Medicine and Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia. Electronic address: lazaros.kochilas@emory.edu.

Funding

University of Minnesota Clinical and Translational Science Institute (UMN CTSI)UL1TR000114 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI BLAZAR, BRUCE R · 2012 to 2015
$35.0M
Long-term Outcomes after Interventions for Congenital Heart DiseaseR01HL122392 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI KOCHILAS, LAZAROS K. · 2014 to 2022
$5.2M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000114NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL122392
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCongenital heart surgery has improved the survival of patients with even the most complex defects, but the long-term survival after these procedures has not been fully described.

objectivesThe purpose of this study was to evaluate the long-term survival of patients (age <21 years) who were operated on for congenital heart defects (CHDs).

methodsThis study used the Pediatric Cardiac Care Consortium data, a U.S.-based, multicenter registry of pediatric cardiac surgery. Survival analysis included 35,998 patients who survived their first congenital heart surgery at <21 years of age and had adequate identifiers for linkage with the National Death Index through 2014. Survival was compared to that in the general population using standardized mortality ratios (SMRs).

resultsAfter a median follow-up of 18 years (645,806 person-years), 3,191 deaths occurred with an overall SMR of 8.3 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 8.0 to 8.7). The 15-year SMR decreased from 12.7 (95% CI: 11.9 to 13.6) in the early era (1982 to 1992) to 10.0 (95% CI: 9.3 to 10.8) in the late era (1998 to 2003). The SMR remained elevated even for mild forms of CHD such as patent ductus arteriosus (SMR 4.5) and atrial septal defects (SMR 4.9). The largest decreases in SMR occurred for patients with transposition of great arteries (early: 11.0 vs. late: 3.8; p < 0.05), complete atrioventricular canal (31.3 vs. 15.3; p < 0.05), and single ventricle (53.7 vs. 31.3; p < 0.05).

conclusionsIn this large U.S. cohort, long-term mortality after congenital heart surgery was elevated across all forms of CHD. Survival has improved over time, particularly for severe defects with significant changes in their management strategy, but still lags behind the general population.

Indexed as

AdolescentCardiac Surgical ProceduresChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeart Defects, CongenitalHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleMortalityPostoperative ComplicationsRegistriesRetrospective Studieschildren’s healthcongenital heart defectsmortalityoutcomes research

Identifiers

PMID29793633
PMCPMC5978758

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.