Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29786132›Full record

ArticleEcoHealth2018

The Economic Case for a Pandemic Fund.

Kevin Berry, Toph Allen, Richard D Horan, Jason F Shogren, David Finnoff, Peter Daszak

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EcoHealth, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 32 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. COVID-19-What Price Do Children Pay? An Analysis of Economic and Social Policy Factors.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Kevin BerryInstitute of Social and Economic Research, Department of Economics & Public Policy, University of Alaska Anchorage, Anchorage, USA.
Toph AllenEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY, 10001, USA.
Richard D HoranDepartment of Agricultural, Food and Resource Economics, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, 48824-1039, USA.
Jason F ShogrenDepartment of Economics and Finance, University of Wyoming, Department 3985, 1000 E University Avenue, Laramie, WY, 82071, USA.
David FinnoffDepartment of Economics and Finance, University of Wyoming, Department 3985, 1000 E University Avenue, Laramie, WY, 82071, USA. finnoff@uwyo.edu.
Peter DaszakEcoHealth Alliance, New York, NY, 10001, USA.
EcoHealth Alliance · USUniversity of Wyoming · USMichigan State University · USUniversity of Alaska Anchorage · US

Funding

Modeling Anthropogenic Effects in the Spread of Infectious DiseasesR01GM100471 · NIGMS · ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY-TEMPE CAMPUS · PI PERRINGS, CHARLES · 2011 to 2014
$1.5M
Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council BB/M008894/1NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM100471NIH (NIGMS) #1R01GM100471-01NOAA CSCOR No. NA09NOS4780192NSF-NIH-USDA/BBSRC Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Diseases BB/M008894/1NSF-NIH-USDA/BBSRC Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Diseases NSF DEB 1414374
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The rapid urban spread of Ebola virus in West Africa in 2014 and consequent breakdown of control measures led to a significant economic impact as well as the burden on public health and wellbeing. The US government appropriated $5.4 Billion for FY2015 and WHO proposed a $100 Million emergency fund largely to curtail the threat of future outbreaks. Using epidemiological analyses and economic modeling, we propose that the best use of these and similar funds would be to serve as global insurance against the continued threat of emerging infectious diseases. An effective strategy would involve the initial investment in strengthening mobile and adaptable capacity to deal with the threat and reality of disease emergence, coupled with repeated investment to maintain what is effectively a 'national guard' for pandemic prevention and response. This investment would create a capital stock that could also provide access to safe treatment during and between crises in developing countries, lowering risk to developed countries.

Indexed as

Global HealthCommunicable Diseases, EmergingDisease OutbreaksEmergenciesFinancing, OrganizedHumansModels, EconomicModels, TheoreticalPandemicsWorld Health OrganizationAdaptation investmentPandemic threatPrevention investment

Identifiers

PMID29786132
PMCPMC7087994
OpenAlexW2804105531

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.