Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29782528›Full record

ArticlePloS one2018

Threat of wheat blast to South Asia's food security: An ex-ante analysis.

Khondoker Abdul Mottaleb, Pawan Kumar Singh, Kai Sonder, Gideon Kruseman, Thakur Prasad Tiwari, Naresh C D Barma, Paritosh Kumar Malaker, Hans-Joachim Braun, Olaf Erenstein

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Reinforced Defenses:International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
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  15. QTL mapping for field resistance to wheat blast in the Caninde#1/Alondra population.TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2020
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Khondoker Abdul MottalebSocioeconomics Program, CIMMYT (International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center), Texcoco, Mexico.
Pawan Kumar SinghGlobal Wheat Program, CIMMYT, Texcoco, Mexico.
Kai SonderGeographical Information System Unit, CIMMYT, Texcoco, Mexico.
Gideon KrusemanSocioeconomics Program, CIMMYT (International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center), Texcoco, Mexico.ORCID 0000-0002-3392-4176
Thakur Prasad TiwariCountry representative, CIMMYT, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Naresh C D BarmaWheat Research Centre, BARI, Bangladesh.
Paritosh Kumar MalakerWheat Research Centre, BARI, Bangladesh.
Hans-Joachim BraunGlobal Wheat Program, CIMMYT, Texcoco, Mexico.
Olaf ErensteinSocioeconomics Program, CIMMYT (International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center), Texcoco, Mexico.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

New biotic stresses have emerged around the globe over the last decades threatening food safety and security. In 2016, scientists confirmed the presence of the devastating wheat-blast disease in Bangladesh, South Asia-its first occurrence outside South America. Severely blast-affected wheat fields had their grain yield wiped out. This poses a severe threat to food security in a densely-populated region with millions of poor inhabitants where wheat is a major staple crop and per capita wheat consumption has been increasing. As an ex ante impact assessment, this study examined potential wheat-blast scenarios in Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan. Based on the agro-climatic conditions in the epicenter, where the disease was first identified in Bangladesh in 2016, this study identified the correspondingly vulnerable areas in India, Pakistan and Bangladesh amounting to 7 million ha. Assuming a conservative scenario of 5-10% for blast-induced wheat production loss, this study estimated the annual potential wheat loss across the sampled countries to be 0.89-1.77 million tons, equivalent to USD 132-264 million. Such losses further threaten an already-precarious national food security, putting pressure on wheat imports and wheat prices. The study is a call for action to tackle the real wheat-blast threat in South Asia.

Indexed as

Food SupplyBangladeshClimate ChangeEdible GrainHumansIndiaMagnaporthePakistanPlant DiseasesTriticum

Identifiers

PMID29782528
PMCPMC5962063

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.