Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29775792›Full record

SynthesisClinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association2019

Diagnostic Yield From Screening Asymptomatic Individuals at High Risk for Pancreatic Cancer: A Meta-analysis of Cohort Studies.

Juan E Corral, Karl F Mareth, Douglas L Riegert-Johnson, Ananya Das, Michael B Wallace

Registry-linked trialAbstract readSystematic Review
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05006131 (Pancreatic Cancer Screening for At-risk Individuals), which is not on this map. Cited by 50 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05006131 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2020, after this paper: background citation

Pancreatic Cancer Screening for At-risk Individuals (The Pancreas Scan Study)

TypeobservationalSponsorBeth Israel Deaconess Medical CenterRan2020 to 2032Enrolled1,395ConditionsPancreatic Cancer, AdultArmsScreening for pancreatic cancer
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Challenges of early detection of pancreatic cancer.The Journal of clinical investigation · 2025
    Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Observational
  19. Review
  20. [Familial pancreatic cancer syndrome].Chirurgie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2023
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Juan E CorralDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, Florida.
Karl F MarethDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, Florida.
Douglas L Riegert-JohnsonDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, Florida.
Ananya DasCenter for Digestive Health, St. Joseph's Hospital and Medical Center, Phoenix, Arizona.
Michael B WallaceDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, Florida. Electronic address: wallace.michael@mayo.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsThere have been few studies of abdominal imaging screening of individuals at high risk for pancreatic cancer (based on family history or genetic variants). We performed a meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies to determine the diagnostic yield and outcomes of abdominal imaging screening for asymptomatic individuals at high risk.

methodsThrough a systematic review of multiple electronic databases and conference proceedings through July 2017, we identified prospective cohort studies (>20 patients) of asymptomatic adults determined to be at high-risk of pancreatic cancer (lifetime risk >5%, including specific genetic-associated conditions) who were screened by endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and/or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to detect pancreatic lesions. Our primary outcome was identification of high-risk pancreatic lesions (high-grade pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia, high-grade dysplasia, or adenocarcinoma) at initial screening, and overall incidence during follow up. Summary estimates were reported as incidence rates per 100 patient-years.

resultsWe identified 19 studies comprising 7085 individuals at high risk for pancreatic cancer; of these, 1660 patients were evaluated by EUS and/or MRI. Fifty-nine high-risk lesions were identified (43 adenocarcinomas: 28 during the initial exam and 15 during follow-up surveillance) and 257 patients underwent pancreatic surgery. Based on our meta-analysis, the overall diagnostic yield screening for high-risk pancreatic lesions was 0.74 (95% CI, 0.33-1.14), with moderate heterogeneity among studies. The number needed to screen to identify 1 patient with a high-risk lesion was 135 (95% CI, 88-303). The diagnostic yield was similar for patients with different genetic features that increased risk, and whether patients were screened by EUS or MRI.

conclusionsBased on meta-analysis, 135 patients at high-risk for pancreatic cancer must be screened to identify 1 patient with a high-risk pancreatic lesion. Further studies are needed to determine whether screening reduces mortality and is cost effectiveness for individuals at high-risk of pancreatic cancer.

Indexed as

Asymptomatic DiseasesAdultAgedAged, 80 and overEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedOptical ImagingPancreatic NeoplasmsYoung AdultEarly DetectionPancreasPanINPeutz-Jeghers SyndromeSurveillanceTumor

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.