Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29771296›Full record

Observational studyClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2019

Nationwide Cohort Study of Antiretroviral Therapy Timing: Treatment Dropout and Virological Failure in China, 2011-2015.

Yan Zhao, Zunyou Wu, Jennifer M McGoogan, Yiyi Sha, Decai Zhao, Ye Ma, Ron Brookmeyer, Roger Detels, Julio S G Montaner

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  7. National HIV programme testing recommendations.Singapore medical journal · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yan ZhaoNational Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Zunyou WuNational Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Jennifer M McGooganNational Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Yiyi ShaTsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Decai ZhaoNational Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Ye MaNational Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Ron BrookmeyerDepartment of Biostatistics, UCLA Fielding School of Public Health, Los Angeles, California.
Roger DetelsDepartment of Epidemiology, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) Fielding School of Public Health.
Julio S G MontanerBritish Columbia Center for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.

Funding

UCLA Rapid, Relevant, Rigorous Implementation Science HubP30MH058107 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI Nina Thawata Harawa · 1997 to 2026
$53.5M
Seek and Treat for Optimal Prevention of HIV & AIDS (STOP HIV/AIDS) in BCR01DA036307 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA · PI MONTANER, JULIO SERGIO GONZALEZ · 2013 to 2017
$3.0M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA036307NIMH NIH HHS P30 MH058107
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: People living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) are still being diagnosed late, rendering the benefits of "early" antiretroviral therapy (ART) unattainable. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the benefits of "immediate" ART. Methods: A nationwide cohort of PLWH in China who initiated ART January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2014 and had baseline CD4 results >200 cells/μL were censored at 12 months, dropout, or death, whichever came first. Treatment dropout and virological failure (viral load ≥400 copies/mL) were measured. Determinants were assessed by Cox and log-binomial regression. Results: The cohort included 123605 PLWH. The ≤30 days group had a significantly lower treatment dropout rate of 6.72%, compared to 8.91% for the 91-365 days group and to 12.64% for the >365 days group. The ≤30 days group also had a significantly lower virological failure rate of 5.45% (31-90 days: 7.39%; 91-365 days: 9.64%; >365 days: 12.67%). Greater risk of dropout (91-365 days: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.33, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.25-1.42; >365 days: aHR = 1.55, CI = 1.47-1.54), and virological failure (31-90 days: adjusted risk ratio [aRR] = 1.35, CI = 1.26-1.45; 91-365 days: aRR = 1.66, CI = 1.55-1.78; >365 days: aRR = 1.85, CI = 1.74-1.97) were observed for those who delayed treatment. Conclusions: ART within 30 days of HIV diagnosis was associated with significantly reduced risk of treatment failure, highlighting the need to implement test-and-immediately-treat policies.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAnti-Retroviral AgentsAntiretroviral Therapy, Highly ActiveChinaFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMiddle AgedSecondary PreventionTreatment FailureYoung AdultAnti-Retroviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID29771296
PMCPMC6293037

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.