Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29762672›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2018

Population Serologic Immunity to Human and Avian H2N2 Viruses in the United States and Hong Kong for Pandemic Risk Assessment.

Tara M Babu, Ranawaka A P M Perera, Joseph T Wu, Theresa Fitzgerald, Carolyn Nolan, Benjamin J Cowling, Scott Krauss, John J Treanor, Malik Peiris

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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  11. Comparison of COVID-19 Health Risks With Other Viral Occupational Hazards.International journal of health services : planning, administration, evaluation · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Tara M BabuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, University of Rochester Medical Center, New York.
Ranawaka A P M PereraSchool of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong.
Joseph T WuSchool of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong.
Theresa FitzgeraldDepartment of Infectious Diseases, University of Rochester Medical Center, New York.
Carolyn NolanDepartment of Infectious Diseases, University of Rochester Medical Center, New York.
Benjamin J CowlingSchool of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong.
Scott KraussDepartment of Infectious Diseases, St Jude Children's Research Hospital, Memphis, Tennessee.
John J TreanorDepartment of Infectious Diseases, University of Rochester Medical Center, New York.
Malik PeirisSchool of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong.
University of Hong Kong · HKUniversity of Rochester Medical Center · USSt. Jude Children's Research Hospital · US

Funding

Understanding and controlling antibiotic resistanceU54GM088558 · NIGMS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI HANAGE, WILLIAM · 2009 to 2018
$26.4M
NIAID NIH HHS HHSN272201400006CNIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM088558
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Influenza A pandemics cause significant mortality and morbidity. H2N2 viruses have caused a prior pandemic, and are circulating in avian reservoirs. The age-related frequency of current population immunity to H2 viruses was evaluated. Methods: Hemagglutinin inhibition (HAI) assays against historical human and recent avian influenza A(H2N2) viruses were performed across age groups in Rochester, New York, and Hong Kong, China. The impact of existing cross-reactive HAI immunity on the effective reproduction number was modeled. Results: One hundred fifty individual sera from Rochester and 295 from Hong Kong were included. Eighty-five percent of patients born in Rochester and Hong Kong before 1968 had HAI titers ≥1:40 against A/Singapore/1/57, and >50% had titers ≥1:40 against A/Berkeley/1/68. The frequency of titers ≥1:40 to avian H2N2 A/mallard/England/727/06 and A/mallard/Netherlands/14/07 in subjects born before 1957 was 62% and 24%, respectively. There were no H2 HAI titers >1:40 in individuals born after 1968. These levels of seroprevalence reduce the initial reproduction number of A/Singapore/1/1957 or A/Berkeley/1/68 by 15%-20%. A basic reproduction number (R0) of the emerging transmissible virus <1.2 predicts a preventable pandemic. Conclusions: Population immunity to H2 viruses is insufficient to block epidemic spread of H2 virus. An H2N2 pandemic would have lower impact in those born before 1968.

Indexed as

PandemicsAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAnimalsChildChild, PreschoolDemographyFemaleHong KongHumansImmunityInfantInfluenza A Virus, H2N2 SubtypeInfluenza, Human

Identifiers

PMID29762672
PMCPMC6107991
OpenAlexW2800478423

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.