Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29760320›Full record

ArticleJournal of epidemiology2018

Breast Cancer Incidence Trends and Projections in Northeastern Thailand.

Shama Virani, Jarin Chindaprasirt, Kosin Wirasorn, Aumkhae Sookprasert, Ongart Somintara, Damnern Vachirodom, Supinda Koonmee, Jirapon Srinakarin, Supot Kamsa-Ard, Krittika Suwanrungruang and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of epidemiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Shama ViraniEpidemiology Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University.ORCID 0000-0002-1163-432X
Jarin ChindaprasirtMedical Oncology Unit, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University.
Kosin WirasornMedical Oncology Unit, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University.
Aumkhae SookprasertMedical Oncology Unit, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University.
Ongart SomintaraDepartment of Surgery, Khon Kaen University.
Damnern VachirodomDepartment of Surgery, Khon Kaen University.
Supinda KoonmeeDepartment of Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University.
Jirapon SrinakarinDepartment of Radiology, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University.
Supot Kamsa-ArdCancer Unit, Srinagarind Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University.ORCID 0000-0002-1554-7696
Krittika SuwanrungruangCancer Unit, Srinagarind Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University.
Laura S RozekSchool of Public Health, University of Michigan.
Hutcha SriplungEpidemiology Unit, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University.
Surapon WiangnonDepartment of Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine, Khon Kaen University.

Funding

Strategic Vision & Impact on Environmental HealthP30ES017885 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Dana Dolinoy · 2011 to 2026
$21.3M
Northern/Pacific Universities Global Health Research Training ConsortiumR25TW009345 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI KOLARS, JOSEPH C., NERURKAR, VIVEK RAMCHANDRA · 2012 to 2016
$5.9M
FIC NIH HHS R25 TW009345NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES017885
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe northeast has the lowest incidence of breast cancer of all regions in Thailand, although national rates are increasing. The heterogeneity in subnational trends necessitates a comprehensive evaluation of breast cancer incidence trends and projections to provide evidence for future region-specific strategies that may be employed to attenuate this growing burden.

methodsJoinpoint regression and age-period-cohort modeling were used to describe trends from 1988-2012. Data was projected from three separate models to provide a range of estimates of incidence to the year 2030 by age group.

resultsAge-standardized rates (ASRs) increased significantly for all women from 1995-2012 by 4.5% per year. Rates for women below age 50 increased by 5.1% per year, while women age 50 years and older increased by 6% per year from 1988-2012. Projected rates show that women age 50 years and older have the largest projected increase in ASRs by 2030 compared to younger women and all women combined.

conclusionsBreast cancer trends in Khon Kaen are presently lower than other regions but are expected to increase and become comparable to other regions by 2030, particularly for women ages 50 years and older.

Indexed as

Population SurveillanceBreast NeoplasmsFemaleForecastingHumansIncidenceMiddle AgedThailandbreast cancerepidemiologynortheastsurveillanceThailand

Identifiers

PMID29760320
PMCPMC6004364

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.