Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29749006›Full record

ArticleDepression and anxiety2018

Predictors of recurrence in remitted late-life depression.

Yi Deng, Douglas R McQuoid, Guy G Potter, David C Steffens, Kimberly Albert, Meghan Riddle, John L Beyer, Warren D Taylor

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Depression and anxiety, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
4.9field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 61 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Trial
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  8. Benefit and Uptake: A Mixed Methods Study Exploring Older Adults' Experiences With a Psychoeducational and Exercise Training Maintenance Intervention.The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry · 2026
    Article
  9. Longitudinal Changes in White Matter Hypointensities in Recurrent Late-Life Depression.The American journal of geriatric psychiatry : official journal of the American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Moderators of treatment response in late-life depression.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2026
    Review
  12. Review
  13. Remission is insufficient: predictors and mechanistic models of recurrence in late-life depression.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2026
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Network homeostasis: functional brain network alterations and relapse in remitted late-life depression.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2025
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Brain and cardiovascular responses to acute stress in remitted and recurrent late-life depression.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Brain Age Is Not a Significant Predictor of Relapse Risk in Late-Life Depression.Biological psychiatry. Cognitive neuroscience and neuroimaging · 2025
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Yi DengThe Center for Cognitive Medicine, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
Douglas R McQuoidDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC, USA.
Guy G PotterDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC, USA.
David C SteffensDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Connecticut Health Center, Farmington, CT, USA.
Kimberly AlbertThe Center for Cognitive Medicine, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9665-740X
Meghan RiddleThe Center for Cognitive Medicine, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.
John L BeyerDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC, USA.
Warren D TaylorThe Center for Cognitive Medicine, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9975-3082
Duke Medical Center · USVanderbilt University Medical Center · USUConn Health · USVA Tennessee Valley Healthcare System · US

Funding

Geriatric Depression: Risk Factors for Adverse OutcomesR01MH054846 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT SCH OF MED/DNT · PI STEFFENS, DAVID C. · 1995 to 2016
$10.1M
Neural Connectivity Affecting the Antidepressant Response: Testing a Lesion ModelR01MH102246 · NIMH · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI TAYLOR, WARREN D · 2015 to 2019
$3.1M
2/2 Phenotype Predictors of Cognitive Outcomes in Geriatric DepressionR01MH108560 · NIMH · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI POTTER, GUY GLENN · 2016 to 2020
$1.8M
Mentoring and Research on Neurobiological Markers of Clinical Outcomes in DepressionK24MH110598 · NIMH · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI TAYLOR, WARREN D · 2016 to 2019
$637k
NIMH NIH HHS K24 MH110598NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH054846NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH102246NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH108560
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLate-life depression (LLD) is associated with a fragile antidepressant response and high recurrence risk. This study examined what measures predict recurrence in remitted LLD.

methodsIndividuals of age 60 years or older with a Diagnostic and Statistical Manual - IV (DSM-IV) diagnosis of major depressive disorder were enrolled in the neurocognitive outcomes of depression in the elderly study. Participants received manualized antidepressant treatment and were followed longitudinally for an average of 5 years. Study analyses included participants who remitted. Measures included demographic and clinical measures, medical comorbidity, disability, life stress, social support, and neuropsychological testing. A subset underwent structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

resultsOf 241 remitted elders, approximately over 4 years, 137 (56.8%) experienced recurrence and 104 (43.2%) maintained remission. In the final model, greater recurrence risk was associated with female sex (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.536; confidence interval [CI] = 1.027-2.297), younger age of onset (HR = 0.990; CI = 0.981-0.999), higher perceived stress (HR = 1.121; CI = 1.022-1.229), disability (HR = 1.060; CI = 1.005-1.119), and less support with activities (HR = 0.885; CI = 0.812-0.963). Recurrence risk was also associated with higher Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) scores prior to censoring (HR = 1.081; CI = 1.033-1.131) and baseline symptoms of suicidal thoughts by MADRS (HR = 1.175; CI = 1.002-1.377) and sadness by Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression (HR = 1.302; CI, 1.080-1.569). Sex, age of onset, and suicidal thoughts were no longer associated with recurrence in a model incorporating report of multiple prior episodes (HR = 2.107; CI = 1.252-3.548). Neither neuropsychological test performance nor MRI measures of aging pathology were associated with recurrence.

conclusionsOver half of the depressed elders who remitted experienced recurrence, mostly within 2 years. Multiple clinical and environmental measures predict recurrence risk. Work is needed to develop instruments that stratify risk.

Indexed as

Activities of Daily LivingAgedAge of OnsetAntidepressive AgentsBrainComorbidityFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMagnetic Resonance ImagingMajor Depressive DisorderMaleMiddle AgedNeuropsychological TestsPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsAntidepressive Agentsantidepressantscognitiondepressionelderlygeriatricstress

Identifiers

PMID29749006
PMCPMC6035781
OpenAlexW2802098170

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.