Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29736785›Full record

ArticleIntensive care medicine2018

Impact on mortality of prompt admission to critical care for deteriorating ward patients: an instrumental variable analysis using critical care bed strain.

Steve Harris, Mervyn Singer, Colin Sanderson, Richard Grieve, David Harrison, Kathryn Rowan

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Intensive care medicine, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Mortality trends and length of stays among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in Ontario and Québec (Canada): a population-based cohort study of the first three epidemic waves.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Association of ICU Admission and Outcomes in Sepsis and Acute Respiratory Failure.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Observational
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. ICU beds: less is more? Not sure.Intensive care medicine · 2020
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Steve HarrisCritical Care Department, University College Hospital London, 235 Euston Road, London, NW1 2BU, UK. doc@steveharris.me.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4982-1374
Mervyn SingerWolfson Institute for Biomedical Research, University College London, The Cruciform Building, Gower Street, London, WC1E 6B, UK.
Colin SandersonDepartment of Health Services Research and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Richard GrieveDepartment of Health Services Research and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
David HarrisonIntensive Care National Audit and Research Centre, Napier House, 24 High Holborn, London, WC1V 6AZ, UK.
Kathryn RowanIntensive Care National Audit and Research Centre, Napier House, 24 High Holborn, London, WC1V 6AZ, UK.

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo estimate the effect of prompt admission to critical care on mortality for deteriorating ward patients.

methodsWe performed a prospective cohort study of consecutive ward patients assessed for critical care. Prompt admissions (within 4 h of assessment) were compared to a 'watchful waiting' cohort. We used critical care strain (bed occupancy) as a natural randomisation event that would predict prompt transfer to critical care. Strain was classified as low, medium or high (2+, 1 or 0 empty beds). This instrumental variable (IV) analysis was repeated for the subgroup of referrals with a recommendation for critical care once assessed. Risk-adjusted 90-day survival models were also constructed.

resultsA total of 12,380 patients from 48 hospitals were available for analysis. There were 2411 (19%) prompt admissions (median delay 1 h, IQR 1-2) and 9969 (81%) controls; 1990 (20%) controls were admitted later (median delay 11 h, IQR 6-26). Prompt admissions were less frequent (p < 0.0001) as strain increased from low (22%), to medium (15%) to high (9%); the median delay to admission was 3, 4 and 5 h respectively. In the IV analysis, prompt admission reduced 90-day mortality by 7.4% (95% CI 1.7-18.5%, p = 0.117) overall, and 16.2% (95% CI 1.1-31.3%, p = 0.036) for those recommended for critical care. In the risk-adjust survival model, 90-day mortality was similar.

conclusionAfter allowing for unobserved prognostic differences between the groups, we find that prompt admission to critical care leads to lower 90-day mortality for patients assessed and recommended to critical care.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalityAcute DiseaseAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesCritical CareFemaleHospitalizationHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesBed numbersDeteriorating ward patientHealth services researchIntensive careOccupancyRapid response

Identifiers

PMID29736785
PMCPMC6006241

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.