Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29734964›Full record

ReviewEpidemiology and infection2018

Best practice assessment of disease modelling for infectious disease outbreaks.

Z F Dembek, T Chekol, A Wu

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Epidemiology and infection, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Complex System Approaches for Animal Health Surveillance.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2019
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Z F DembekBattelle Connecticut Operations,50 Woodbridge Drive,Suffield,CT 06078-1200,USA.
T ChekolBattelle, Defense Threat Reduction Agency,Technical Reachback,8725 John J. Kingman Road,Stop 6201,Fort Belvoir,VA 22060-6201,USA.
A WuDefense Threat Reduction Agency,Technical Reachback,8725 John J. Kingman Road,Stop 6201,Fort Belvoir,VA 22060-6201,USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

During emerging disease outbreaks, public health, emergency management officials and decision-makers increasingly rely on epidemiological models to forecast outbreak progression and determine the best response to health crisis needs. Outbreak response strategies derived from such modelling may include pharmaceutical distribution, immunisation campaigns, social distancing, prophylactic pharmaceuticals, medical care, bed surge, security and other requirements. Infectious disease modelling estimates are unavoidably subject to multiple interpretations, and full understanding of a model's limitations may be lost when provided from the disease modeller to public health practitioner to government policymaker. We review epidemiological models created for diseases which are of greatest concern for public health protection. Such diseases, whether transmitted from person-to-person (Ebola, influenza, smallpox), via direct exposure (anthrax), or food and waterborne exposure (cholera, typhoid) may cause severe illness and death in a large population. We examine disease-specific models to determine best practices characterising infectious disease outbreaks and facilitating emergency response and implementation of public health policy and disease control measures.

Indexed as

Disease OutbreaksModels, TheoreticalAnthraxCholeraCoinfectionForecastingHemorrhagic Fever, EbolaHumansInfluenza, HumanMalariaPractice Guidelines as TopicSmallpoxTyphoid FeverComputational modellingepidemiologyinfectious disease controlmathematical modellingsimulation

Identifiers

PMID29734964
PMCPMC9134297

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.