Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29720624›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2018

Explicit size distributions of failure cascades redefine systemic risk on finite networks.

Rebekka Burkholz, Hans J Herrmann, Frank Schweitzer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Cascade Size Distributions: Why They Matter and How to Compute Them Efficiently.Proceedings of the ... AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence. AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence · 2021
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Rebekka BurkholzETH Zurich, Computer Science, Zurich, 8092, Switzerland. rburkholz@ethz.ch.
Hans J HerrmannETH Zurich, Computational Physics for Engineering Materials, IfB, Zurich, 8093, Switzerland.
Frank SchweitzerETH Zurich, Management, Technology and Economics, Zurich, 8092, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1551-6491

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

How big is the risk that a few initial failures of nodes in a network amplify to large cascades that span a substantial share of all nodes? Predicting the final cascade size is critical to ensure the functioning of a system as a whole. Yet, this task is hampered by uncertain and missing information. In infinitely large networks, the average cascade size can often be estimated by approaches building on local tree and mean field approximations. Yet, as we demonstrate, in finite networks, this average does not need to be a likely outcome. Instead, we find broad and even bimodal cascade size distributions. This phenomenon persists for system sizes up to 10

Identifiers

PMID29720624
PMCPMC5932047

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.