Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29712795›Full record

ReviewPhilosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences2018

Transmission of climate risks across sectors and borders.

Andy J Challinor, W Neil Adger, Tim G Benton, Declan Conway, Manoj Joshi, Dave Frame

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  3. Review
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  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Using scenario analyses to address the future of food.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2019
    Article
  15. Advances in risk assessment for climate change adaptation policy.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2018
    Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Andy J ChallinorSchool of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK a.j.challinor@leeds.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8551-6617
W Neil AdgerGeography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Rennes Drive, Exeter EX4 4RJ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4244-2854
Tim G BentonSchool of Biology, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7448-1973
Declan ConwayGrantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics, London WC2A 2AE, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4590-6733
Manoj JoshiClimatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2948-2811
Dave FrameNZ Climate Change Research Institute, Victoria University, Wellington, PO Box 600, Wellington 6012, New Zealand.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0949-3994

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Systemic climate risks, which result from the potential for cascading impacts through inter-related systems, pose particular challenges to risk assessment, especially when risks are transmitted across sectors and international boundaries. Most impacts of climate variability and change affect regions and jurisdictions in complex ways, and techniques for assessing this transmission of risk are still somewhat limited. Here, we begin to define new approaches to risk assessment that can account for transboundary and trans-sector risk transmission, by presenting: (i) a typology of risk transmission that distinguishes clearly the role of climate versus the role of the social and economic systems that distribute resources; (ii) a review of existing modelling, qualitative and systems-based methods of assessing risk and risk transmission; and (iii) case studies that examine risk transmission in human displacement, food, water and energy security. The case studies show that policies and institutions can attenuate risks significantly through cooperation that can be mutually beneficial to all parties. We conclude with some suggestions for assessment of complex risk transmission mechanisms: use of expert judgement; interactive scenario building; global systems science and big data; innovative use of climate and integrated assessment models; and methods to understand societal responses to climate risk. These approaches aim to inform both research and national-level risk assessment.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEnvironmental PolicyModels, TheoreticalRisk Assessmentclimate changefood securitymigrationrisk assessmentwater resources

Identifiers

PMID29712795
PMCPMC5938635

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.