ArticleSocial science & medicine (1982)2018
Does trade liberalization reduce child mortality in low- and middle-income countries? A synthetic control analysis of 36 policy experiments, 1963-2005.
Article in Social science & medicine (1982), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Is Economic Growth Good for Population Health? A Critical Review.Canadian studies in population · 2023Review
- COVID-19, Trade, and Health: This Changes Everything? Comment on "What Generates Attention to Health in Trade Policy-Making? Lessons From Success in Tobacco Control and Access to Medicines: A Qualitative Study of Australia and the (Comprehensive and Progressive) Trans-Pacific Partnership".International journal of health policy and management · 2022Article
- Export Expansion May Increase Adult Illness and Injury: A Quasi-Natural Experiment on China's Accession to the World Trade Organization.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Regional Effects of Maternal Mortality Determinants in Africa and the Middle East: How About Political Risks of Conflicts?Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Brexit and trade policy: an analysis of the governance of UK trade policy and what it means for health and social justice.Globalization and health · 2021Article
- COVID-19 and the collapse of global trade: building an effective public health response.The Lancet. Planetary health · 2021Review
- For the children? A mixed methods analysis of World Bank structural adjustment loans, health projects, and infant mortality in Latin America.Globalization and health · 2021Article
- Liberal trade policy and food insecurity across the income distribution: an observational analysis in 132 countries, 2014-17.The Lancet. Global health · 2020Observational
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1 author.
Funding
Abstract
Scholars have long argued that trade liberalization leads to lower rates of child mortality in developing countries. Yet current scholarship precludes definitive conclusions about the magnitude and direction of this relationship. Here I analyze the impact of trade liberalization on child mortality in 36 low- and middle-income countries, 1963-2005, using the synthetic control method. I test the hypothesis that trade liberalization leads to lower rates of child mortality, examine whether this association varies between countries and over time, and explore the potentially modifying role of democratic politics, historical context, and geographic location on the magnitude and direction of this relationship. My analysis shows that, on average, trade liberalization had no impact on child mortality in low- and middle-income countries between 1963 and 2005 (Average effect (AE): -0.15%; 95% CI: -2.04%-2.18%). Yet the scale, direction and statistical significance of this association varied markedly, ranging from a ∼20% reduction in child mortality in Uruguay to a ∼20% increase in the Philippines compared with synthetic controls. Trade liberalization was also followed by the largest declines in child mortality in democracies (AE 10-years post reform (AE
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