Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29684651›Full record

ArticleSocial science & medicine (1982)2018

The geography of smallpox in England before vaccination: A conundrum resolved.

Romola Jane Davenport, Max Satchell, Leigh Matthew William Shaw-Taylor

Open access · hybridAbstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in Social science & medicine (1982), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Variola virus genome sequenced from an eighteenth-century museum specimen supports the recent origin of smallpox.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2020
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Urbanization and mortality in Britain, c. 1800-50.The Economic history review · 2020
    Article
  13. Design of inhibitors of thymidylate kinase fromJournal of biomolecular structure & dynamics · 2019
    Article
  14. Infant-feeding practices and infant survival by familial wealth in London, 1752-1812.The history of the family : an international quarterly · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Romola Jane DavenportCambridge Group for the History of Population and Social Structure, Department of Geography, Downing Place, Cambridge, CB2 3EA, UK. Electronic address: rjd23@cam.ac.uk.
Max SatchellCambridge Group for the History of Population and Social Structure, Department of Geography, Downing Place, Cambridge, CB2 3EA, UK. Electronic address: aems2@cam.ac.uk.
Leigh Matthew William Shaw-TaylorCambridge Group for the History of Population and Social Structure, Faculty of History, West Road, Cambridge, CB3 9EF, UK. Electronic address: lmws2@cam.ac.uk.
University of Cambridge · GB

Funding

Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 103322
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Smallpox is regarded as an ancient and lethal disease of humans, however very little is known about the prevalence and impact of smallpox before the advent of vaccination (c.1800). Here we use evidence from English burial records covering the period 1650-1799 to confirm a striking geography to smallpox patterns. Smallpox apparently circulated as a childhood disease in northern England and Sweden, even where population densities were low and settlement patterns dispersed. However, smallpox was a relatively rare epidemic disease in southern England outside the largest cities, despite its commercialised economy and the growing spatial interconnectedness of its settlements. We investigated a number of factors hypothesised to influence the regional circulation of smallpox, including exposure to naturally occurring orthopox viruses, settlement patterns, and deliberate preventative measures. We concluded that transmission was controlled in southern England by local practices of avoidance and mass inoculation that arose in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries. Avoidance measures included isolation of victims in pest houses and private homes, as well as cancellation of markets and other public gatherings, and pre-dated the widespread use of inoculation. The historical pattern of smallpox in England supports phylogenetic evidence for a relatively recent origin of the variola strains that circulated in the twentieth century, and provides evidence for the efficacy of preventative strategies complementary to immunisation.

Indexed as

EnglandGeographyHistory, 17th CenturyHistory, 18th CenturyHumansSmallpoxDisease controlEndemicisationEnglandHistorical epidemiologySmallpoxVaccinationVariolation

Identifiers

PMID29684651
PMCPMC5958952
OpenAlexW2801434696

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.