Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29678986›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2018

Detecting Risk Of Postural hypotension (DROP): derivation and validation of a prediction score for primary care.

Christopher Elles Clark, Daniel Thomas, Fiona C Warren, David J Llewellyn, Luigi Ferrucci, John L Campbell

Open access · goldAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Understanding measurement of postural hypotension: a nationwide survey of general practice in England.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Hypertension and hypotension: getting the balance right.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2023
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Systolic inter-arm blood pressure difference and risk of cognitive decline in older people: a cohort study.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2020
    Article
  9. Observational
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Christopher Elles ClarkPrimary Care Research Group, Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7526-3038
Daniel ThomasPrimary Care Research Group, Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK.
Fiona C WarrenPrimary Care Research Group, Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK.
David J LlewellynMental Health Research Group, Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK.
Luigi FerrucciLongitudinal Studies Section, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
John L CampbellPrimary Care Research Group, Institute of Health Research, University of Exeter Medical School, Exeter, UK.
University of Exeter · GBNational Institute on Aging · US

Funding

Biomarkers of Homestatic Dysregulation in Aging and Chronic DiseaseZIAAG000971 · NIA · NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON AGING · PI FERRUCCI, LUIGI · 2009 to 2025
$1.9M
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesFalls are a common problem in older people. Postural hypotension contributes to falls but is often asymptomatic. In the absence of symptoms, postural hypotension is only infrequently checked for in clinical practice. We undertook this study to derive, validate and explore the prospective associations of a prediction tool to identify people likely to have unrecognised postural hypotension. DESIGN AND

settingCross-sectional and prospective multivariable cohort analysis.

participants1317 participants of the Invecchiare in Chianti study, a population-based cohort representative of the older Italian population. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Predictive value of score to suggest presence of postural hypotension.

methodsSubjects were randomised 1:1 to derivation or validation cohorts. Within the derivation cohort, univariable associations for candidate predictors of postural hypotension were tested. Variables with p<0.1 entered multivariable linear regression models. Factors retaining multivariable significance were incorporated into unweighted and weighted Detecting Risk Of Postural hypotension (DROP) scores. These scores were tested in the validation cohort against prediction of postural hypotension, cognitive decline and mortality over 9 years of follow-up.

resultsPostural hypotension was present in 203 (15.4%) of participants. Factors predicting postural hypotension were: digoxin use, Parkinson's disease, hypertension, stroke or cardiovascular disease and an interarm systolic blood pressure difference. Area under the curve was consistent at 0.65 for all models, with significant ORs of 1.8 to 2.4 per unit increase in score for predicting postural hypotension. For a DROP score ≥1, five cases need to be tested to identify one with postural hypotension.Increasing DROP scores predicted mortality (OR 1.8 to 2.8 per unit rise) and increasing rates of decline of Mini Mental State Examination score (analysis of variance p<0.001) over 9 years of follow-up.

conclusionsThe DROP score provides a simple method to identify people likely to have postural hypotension and increased risks to health who require further evaluation.

Indexed as

Accidental FallsAgedAged, 80 and overCross-Sectional StudiesFeasibility StudiesFemaleHumansHypotension, OrthostaticItalyMaleMiddle AgedPrimary Health CareProspective StudiesRisk Factorshypertensionpreventive medicineprimary care

Identifiers

PMID29678986
PMCPMC5914723
OpenAlexW2802008100

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.