Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29676932›Full record

ReviewAstrobiology2018

Exoplanet Biosignatures: A Framework for Their Assessment.

David C Catling, Joshua Krissansen-Totton, Nancy Y Kiang, David Crisp, Tyler D Robinson, Shiladitya DasSarma, Andrew J Rushby, Anthony Del Genio, William Bains, Shawn Domagal-Goldman

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Astrobiology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Modelling exo-biospheres for biosignature predictions.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025
    Review
  4. Is Life Binary or Gradual?Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Quantifying the information impact of future searches for exoplanetary biosignatures.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

David C Catling1 Astrobiology Program, Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington , Seattle, Washington.
Joshua Krissansen-Totton1 Astrobiology Program, Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington , Seattle, Washington.
Nancy Y Kiang3 NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies , New York, New York.
David Crisp4 MS 233-200, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology , Pasadena, California.
Tyler D Robinson5 Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of California , Santa Cruz, California.
Shiladitya DasSarma6 Department of Microbiology and Immunology, School of Medicine, and Institute of Marine and Environmental Technology, University of Maryland , Baltimore, Maryland.
Andrew J Rushby7 NASA Ames Research Center , Moffett Field, California.
Anthony Del Genio3 NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies , New York, New York.
William Bains8 Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Science , Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Shawn Domagal-Goldman9 NASA Goddard Space Flight Center , Greenbelt, Maryland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Finding life on exoplanets from telescopic observations is an ultimate goal of exoplanet science. Life produces gases and other substances, such as pigments, which can have distinct spectral or photometric signatures. Whether or not life is found with future data must be expressed with probabilities, requiring a framework of biosignature assessment. We present a framework in which we advocate using biogeochemical "Exo-Earth System" models to simulate potential biosignatures in spectra or photometry. Given actual observations, simulations are used to find the Bayesian likelihoods of those data occurring for scenarios with and without life. The latter includes "false positives" wherein abiotic sources mimic biosignatures. Prior knowledge of factors influencing planetary inhabitation, including previous observations, is combined with the likelihoods to give the Bayesian posterior probability of life existing on a given exoplanet. Four components of observation and analysis are necessary. (1) Characterization of stellar (e.g., age and spectrum) and exoplanetary system properties, including "external" exoplanet parameters (e.g., mass and radius), to determine an exoplanet's suitability for life. (2) Characterization of "internal" exoplanet parameters (e.g., climate) to evaluate habitability. (3) Assessment of potential biosignatures within the environmental context (components 1-2), including corroborating evidence. (4) Exclusion of false positives. We propose that resulting posterior Bayesian probabilities of life's existence map to five confidence levels, ranging from "very likely" (90-100%) to "very unlikely" (<10%) inhabited. Key Words: Bayesian statistics-Biosignatures-Drake equation-Exoplanets-Habitability-Planetary science. Astrobiology 18, 709-738.

Indexed as

ExobiologyExtraterrestrial EnvironmentPlanetsBayes TheoremOrigin of Life

Identifiers

PMID29676932
PMCPMC6049621

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.