Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29666247›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2018

Global shifts in the phenological synchrony of species interactions over recent decades.

Heather M Kharouba, Johan Ehrlén, Andrew Gelman, Kjell Bolmgren, Jenica M Allen, Steve E Travers, Elizabeth M Wolkovich

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 105 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
105citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

105 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. Trait-based approaches to restoration ecology: Synthesizing insights from diverse systems.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
    Review
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  13. Climate change intensifies plant-pollinator mismatch and increases secondary extinction risk for plants in northern latitudes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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45 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Heather M KharoubaCenter for Population Biology, University of California, Davis, CA 95616; heather.kharouba@uottawa.ca.
Johan EhrlénDepartment of Ecology, Environment, and Plant Sciences, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Andrew GelmanDepartment of Statistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027.
Kjell BolmgrenUnit for Field-Based Forest Research, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, SE-363 94 Lammhult, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9552-9684
Jenica M AllenDepartment of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03824.
Steve E TraversDepartment of Biological Sciences, North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND 58108.
Elizabeth M WolkovichArnold Arboretum of Harvard University, Boston MA, 02130.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Phenological responses to climate change (e.g., earlier leaf-out or egg hatch date) are now well documented and clearly linked to rising temperatures in recent decades. Such shifts in the phenologies of interacting species may lead to shifts in their synchrony, with cascading community and ecosystem consequences. To date, single-system studies have provided no clear picture, either finding synchrony shifts may be extremely prevalent [Mayor SJ, et al. (2017)

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCompetitive BehaviorEcosystemMetamorphosis, BiologicalPhenotypePredatory BehaviorAnimalsModels, StatisticalPopulation DynamicsSeasonsSpecies SpecificityTemperatureTime Factorsbaselineglobal warmingmismatchtime seriestrophic interactions

Identifiers

PMID29666247
PMCPMC5960279

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.