Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29665068›Full record

ArticleJournal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research2018

Osteoporosis and Hip Fracture Risk From Routine Computed Tomography Scans: The Fracture, Osteoporosis, and CT Utilization Study (FOCUS).

Annette L Adams, Heidi Fischer, David L Kopperdahl, David C Lee, Dennis M Black, Mary L Bouxsein, Shireen Fatemi, Sundeep Khosla, Eric S Orwoll, Ethel S Siris and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
55citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

55 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Guideline
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  4. CT image-based biomarkers for opportunistic screening of osteoporotic fractures: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2024
    Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Guideline
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Improved prediction of hip fracture using multi-faceted biomechanical computed tomography.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2026
    Article
  11. Review
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  14. Review
  15. Can Multi-Vertebral CT-Based Finite Element Models Accurately Predict Strains? An In Vitro Validation Study.International journal for numerical methods in biomedical engineering · 2025
    Article
  16. Comparison of the time-dependent discriminatory accuracy of femoral strength and bone mineral density for predicting future hip and major osteoporotic fractures: a 16-year follow-up of the AGES-Reykjavik cohort.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Annette L AdamsDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, USA.
Heidi FischerDepartment of Research and Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, CA, USA.
David L KopperdahlO.N. Diagnostics, Berkeley, CA, USA.
David C LeeO.N. Diagnostics, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Dennis M BlackDepartments of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Mary L BouxseinOrthopedic Biomechanics Laboratory, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Shireen FatemiDepartment of Endocrinology, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Panorama City, CA, USA.
Sundeep KhoslaKogod Center on Aging and Division of Endocrinology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Eric S OrwollBone and Mineral Unit, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR, USA.
Ethel S SirisToni Stabile Osteoporosis Center, Department of Medicine, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Tony M KeavenyDepartments of Mechanical Engineering and Bioengineering, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA.

Funding

Robust BCT for Clinical Use - Phase IIR44AR057616 · NIAMS · O. N. DIAGNOSTICS, LLC · PI KOPPERDAHL, DAVID · 2014 to 2016
$1.8M
Robust BCT for Clinical UseR43AR057616 · NIAMS · O. N. DIAGNOSTICS, LLC · PI KOPPERDAHL, DAVID · 2009 to 2010
$700k
NIAMS NIH HHS R43 AR057616NIAMS NIH HHS R44 AR057616
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Methods now exist for analyzing previously taken clinical computed tomography (CT) scans to measure a dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA)-equivalent bone mineral density (BMD) at the hip and a finite element analysis-derived femoral strength. We assessed the efficacy of this "biomechanical CT" (BCT) approach for identifying patients at high risk of incident hip fracture in a large clinical setting. Using a case-cohort design sampled from 111,694 women and men aged 65 or older who had a prior hip CT scan, a DXA within 3 years of the CT, and no prior hip fracture, we compared those with subsequent hip fracture (n = 1959) with randomly selected sex-stratified controls (n = 1979) and analyzed their CT scans blinded to all other data. We found that the age-, race-, and body mass index (BMI)-adjusted hazard ratio (HR; per standard deviation) for femoral strength was significant before (women: HR = 2.8, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.2-3.5; men: 2.8, 2.1-3.7) and after adjusting also for the (lowest) hip BMD T-score by BCT (women: 2.1, 1.4-3.2; men: 2.7, 1.6-4.6). The hazard ratio for the hip BMD T-score was similar between BCT and DXA for both sexes (women: 2.1, 1.8-2.5 BCT versus 2.1, 1.7-2.5 DXA; men: 2.8, 2.1-3.8 BCT versus 2.5, 2.0-3.2 DXA) and was higher than for the (lowest) spine/hip BMD T-score by DXA (women: 1.6, 1.4-1.9; men: 2.1, 1.6-2.7). Compared with the latter as a clinical-practice reference and using both femoral strength and the hip BMD T-score from BCT, sensitivity for predicting hip fracture was higher for BCT (women: 0.66 versus 0.59; men: 0.56 versus 0.48), with comparable respective specificity (women: 0.66 versus 0.67; men: 0.76 versus 0.78). We conclude that BCT analysis of previously acquired routine abdominal or pelvic CT scans is at least as effective as DXA testing for identifying patients at high risk of hip fracture. © 2018 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Indexed as

Tomography, X-Ray ComputedAbsorptiometry, PhotonAgedAged, 80 and overArea Under CurveBiomechanical PhenomenaBone DensityFemaleFemurHip FracturesHumansMaleOsteoporosisRisk FactorsSensitivity and SpecificityBONE STRENGTHCOMPUTED TOMOGRAPHYDXAFRACTURE RISK ASSESSMENTOSTEOPOROSISSCREENING

Identifiers

PMID29665068
PMCPMC6155990

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.