Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29660561›Full record

ArticleAccident; analysis and prevention2018

Cycling injury risk in London: A case-control study exploring the impact of cycle volumes, motor vehicle volumes, and road characteristics including speed limits.

Rachel Aldred, Anna Goodman, John Gulliver, James Woodcock

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Accident; analysis and prevention, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  6. How does mode of travel affect risks posed to other road users? An analysis of English road fatality data, incorporating gender and road type.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2021
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Rachel AldredUniversity of Westminster, United Kingdom. Electronic address: r.aldred@westminster.ac.uk.
Anna GoodmanLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom.
John GulliverImperial College, London, United Kingdom.
James WoodcockCentre for Diet and Activity Research, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/K023187/1Medical Research Council MR/P02663X/1Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cycling injury risk is an important topic, but few studies explore cycling risk in relation to exposure. This is largely because of a lack of exposure data, in other words how much cycling is done at different locations. This paper helps to fill this gap. It reports a case-control study of cycling injuries in London in 2013-2014, using modelled cyclist flow data alongside datasets covering some characteristics of the London route network. A multilevel binary logistic regression model is used to investigate factors associated with injury risk, comparing injury sites with control sites selected using the modelled flow data. Findings provide support for 'safety in numbers': for each increase of a natural logarithmic unit (2.71828) in cycling flows, an 18% decrease in injury odds was found. Conversely, increased motor traffic volume is associated with higher odds of cycling injury, with one logarithmic unit increase associated with a 31% increase in injury odds. Twenty-mile per hour compared with 30mph speed limits were associated with 21% lower injury odds. Residential streets were associated with reduced injury odds, and junctions with substantially higher injury odds. Bus lanes do not affect injury odds once other factors are controlled for. These data suggest that speed limits of 20 mph may reduce cycling injury risk, as may motor traffic reduction. Further, building cycle routes that generate new cycle trips should generate 'safety in numbers' benefits.

Indexed as

Accidents, TrafficEnvironment DesignMotor VehiclesSafetyAutomobile DrivingBicyclingCase-Control StudiesHumansLogistic ModelsLondonRisk FactorsCyclingInjurymotor trafficRiskSafety in numbers

Identifiers

PMID29660561
PMCPMC6004034

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.