Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29655833›Full record

Observational studyGastroenterology2018

Development of Evidence-Based Surveillance Intervals After Radiofrequency Ablation of Barrett's Esophagus.

Cary C Cotton, Rehan Haidry, Aaron P Thrift, Laurence Lovat, Nicholas J Shaheen

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract readObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Gastroenterology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05056051 (Additive Value of Wide-Area Transepithelial Sampling), which is not on this map. Cited by 36 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
9.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05056051 naunknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2020, after this paper: background citation

Additive Value of Wide-Area Transepithelial Sampling (WATS3D) in Detection of Recurrence of Intestinal Metaplasia Following Endoscopic Eradication Therapy (EET) for Barrett's Esophagus-Related Neoplasia

TypeinterventionalSponsorNorthwestern UniversityRan2020 to 2025Enrolled200ConditionsBarrett Esophagus, Esophageal CancerArmsWATS-3D tissue sampling prior to forceps biopsies, WATS-3D tissue sampling following forceps biopsies
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 82 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Novel histologic score predicts recurrent intestinal metaplasia after successful endoscopic eradication therapy.Diseases of the esophagus : official journal of the International Society for Diseases of the Esophagus · 2023
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Unmet needs in Barret's esophagus diagnosis and treatment: a narrative review.Translational gastroenterology and hepatology · 2023
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Optimized Surveillance Intervals Following Endoscopic Eradication of Dysplastic Barrett's Esophagus: An International Cohort Study.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Endoscopic Management of Barrett's Esophagus.Digestive diseases and sciences · 2022
    Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Cary C CottonUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Center for Esophageal Diseases and Swallowing, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Rehan HaidryUniversity College Hospital, Department of Gastroenterology, Fitzrovia, London, UK; Division of Surgery & Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK.
Aaron P ThriftSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas; Dan L Duncan Comprehensive Cancer Center, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas.
Laurence LovatUniversity College Hospital, Department of Gastroenterology, Fitzrovia, London, UK; Division of Surgery & Interventional Science, University College London, London, UK.
Nicholas J ShaheenUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Center for Esophageal Diseases and Swallowing, Chapel Hill, North Carolina. Electronic address: nshaheen@med.unc.edu.
University College Hospital · GBUniversity of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USBaylor College of Medicine · US

Funding

DIGESTIVE DISEASES EPIDEMIOLOGY TRAINING PROGRAMT32DK007634 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ROBERT S. SANDLER · 1990 to 2026
$7.4M
SHORT-TERM RESEARCH TRAININGT35DK007386 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Evan Samuel Dellon · 1986 to 2026
$4.1M
Non-Endoscopic Surveillance for Barrett's Esophagus Following Ablative TherapyK24DK100548 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI SHAHEEN, NICHOLAS J · 2013 to 2017
$896k
Medical Student Scholars Program at UNC NIDDK CentersT32DK062666 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI SANDLER, ROBERT S. · 2002 to 2006
$262k
NIDDK NIH HHS K24 DK100548NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007634NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK062666NIDDK NIH HHS T35 DK007386
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND &

aimsBarrett's esophagus (BE) recurs in 25% or more of patients treated successfully with radiofrequency ablation (RFA), so surveillance endoscopy is recommended after complete eradication of intestinal metaplasia (CEIM). The frequency of surveillance is informed only by expert opinion. We aimed to model the incidence of neoplastic recurrence, validate the model in an independent cohort, and propose evidence-based surveillance intervals.

methodsWe collected data from the United States Radiofrequency Ablation Registry (US RFA, 2004-2013) and the United Kingdom National Halo Registry (UK NHR, 2007-2015) to build and validate models to predict the incidence of neoplasia recurrence after initially successful RFA. We developed 3 categories of risk and modeled intervals to yield 0.1% risk of recurrence with invasive adenocarcinoma. We fit Cox proportional hazards models assessing discrimination by C statistic and 95% confidence limits.

resultsThe incidence of neoplastic recurrence was associated with most severe histologic grade before CEIM, age, endoscopic mucosal resection, sex, and baseline BE segment length. In multivariate analysis, a model based solely on most severe pre-CEIM histology predicted neoplastic recurrence with a C statistic of 0.892 (95% confidence limit, 0.863-0.921) in the US RFA registry. This model also performed well when we used data from the UK NHR. Our model divided patients into 3 risk groups based on baseline histologic grade: non-dysplastic BE; indefinite for dysplasia, low-grade dysplasia, and high-grade dysplasia; or intramucosal adenocarcinoma. For patients with low-grade dysplasia, we propose surveillance endoscopy at 1 and 3 years after CEIM; for patients with high-grade dysplasia or intramucosal adenocarcinoma, we propose surveillance endoscopy at 0.25, 0.5, and 1 year after CEIM, then annually.

conclusionIn analyses of data from the US RFA and UK NHR for BE, a much-attenuated schedule of surveillance endoscopy would provide protection from invasive adenocarcinoma. Adherence to the recommended surveillance intervals could decrease the number of endoscopies performed yet identify unresectable cancers at rates less than 1/1000 endoscopies.

Indexed as

Catheter AblationAdenocarcinomaAgedBarrett EsophagusDisease ProgressionEsophageal NeoplasmsEsophagoscopyEvidence-Based MedicineFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMetaplasiaMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPractice Guidelines as TopicEsophageal CancerLGDNDBERisk of Progression

Identifiers

PMID29655833
PMCPMC6067977
OpenAlexW2797107997

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.