ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2018
The health, poverty, and financial consequences of a cigarette price increase among 500 million male smokers in 13 middle income countries: compartmental model study.
Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
36 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Identifying best modelling practices for tobacco control policy simulations: a systematic review and a novel quality assessment framework.Tobacco control · 2023Pooled it
- Informing policy makers on the efficiency of population level tobacco control interventions in Asia: A systematic review of model-based economic evaluations.Journal of global health · 2020Pooled it
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- Prevalence of non-communicable disease risk factors and chronic conditions among middle-aged and older adults in extreme poverty: a nationally representative cross-sectional study in India.The Lancet. Global health · 2025Article
- Chemometrics-driven discrimination of flue-cured tobacco aroma typesRSC advances · 2025Article
- The economic burden of lung cancer in low- and lower-middle-income countries: a systematic review.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2025Article
- Tobacco and household expenditure in Egypt: insights into socioeconomic inequalities and spending profiles from the Household Income, Expenditure and Consumption Survey.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Taxing tobacco as a strategy to reduce consumption and increase public health benefits in Pakistan.Eastern Mediterranean health journal = La revue de sante de la Mediterranee orientale = al-Majallah al-sihhiyah li-sharq al-mutawassit · 2024Article
- Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century.Lancet (London, England) · 2024Review
- Unlocking the power of tobacco taxation to mitigate the social costs of smoking in Mexico: a microsimulation model.Health policy and planning · 2024Article
- Article
- Factors associated with smoking intensity among adult smokers: findings from the longitudinal cohort of the Tehran lipid and glucose study.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Tobacco industry pricing strategies for single cigarettes and multistick packs after excise tax increases in Colombia.Tobacco control · 2023Article
- Taxation of tobacco, alcohol, and sugar-sweetened beverages: reviewing the evidence and dispelling the myths.BMJ global health · 2023Review
- The characteristics and risk factors of e-cigarette use among adolescents in Shanghai: A case-control study.Tobacco induced diseases · 2023Article
- Socioeconomic differences in the impact of prices and taxes on tobacco use in low- and middle-income countries-A systematic review.PLOS global public health · 2023Article
- The role of taxation measures in the management of harmful products, services, and practices in Iran: a qualitative study.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Explaining specific taxes management and use in the health sector: a qualitative study.BMC health services research · 2022Article
- Reducing the Burden of Disease Through Tobacco Taxes in Mongolia: A Health Impact Analysis Using a Dynamic Public Health Model.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2022Article
- The distributional effects of tobacco tax increases across regions in Mexico: an extended cost-effectiveness analysis.International journal for equity in health · 2022Article
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Abstract
objectiveTo examine the impact of a 50% increase in market prices of cigarettes on health, poverty, and financial protection.
designCompartmental model study.
setting13 middle income countries, totalling two billion men.
participants500 million male smokers.
main outcome measuresLife years gained, averted treatment costs, number of men avoiding catastrophic healthcare expenditures and poverty, and additional tax revenue by income group.
resultsA 50% increase in cigarette prices would lead to about 450 million years of life gained across the 13 countries from smoking cessation, with half of these in China. Across all countries, men in the bottom income group (poorest 20% of the population) would gain 6.7 times more life years than men in the top income group (richest 20% of the population; 155
conclusionsHigher prices of cigarettes provide more health and financial gains to the poorest 20% than to the richest 20% of the population. Higher excise taxes support the targets of the sustainable development goals on non-communicable diseases and poverty, and provides financial protection against illness.
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