ArticleAmerican journal of physical medicine & rehabilitation2018
A Risk Scoring System for the Prediction of Functional Deterioration, Institutionalization, and Mortality Among Medicare Beneficiaries.
Article in American journal of physical medicine & rehabilitation, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Prediction models for functional status in community dwelling older adults: a systematic review.BMC geriatrics · 2022Pooled it
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
objectiveWe sought to develop a risk scoring system for predicting functional deterioration, institutionalization, and mortality. Identifying predictors of poor health outcomes informs clinical decision-making, service provision, and policy development to address the needs of persons at greatest risk for poor health outcomes.
designThis is a cohort study with 21,257 community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries 65 yrs and older who participated in the 2001-2008 Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey. Derivation of the model was conducted in 60% of the sample and validated in the remaining 40%. Multinomial logistic regression model generated β coefficients, which were used to create a risk scoring system. Our outcome was instrumental activity of daily living stage transitions (stable/improved function and functional deterioration), institutionalization, or mortality for 2 yrs of follow-up.
resultsA total of 18 factors were identified for functional deterioration (P < 0.05). In the derivation cohort, the likelihood of functional deterioration ranged from 6.27% to 33.51%, risk of institutionalization from 0.07% to 12.13%, and risk of mortality from 2.13% to 31.83%, in comparison with stable/improved function.
conclusionsA risk scoring system predicting Medicare beneficiaries' risk of functional deterioration, institutionalization, and mortality based on demographic and clinical indicators may feasibly be developed with implications for healthcare delivery.
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Registered trials
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