Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29621988›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2018

Sorafenib versus Transarterial chemoembolization for advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma: a cost-effectiveness analysis.

Shuling Chen, Zhenwei Peng, Mengchao Wei, Weifeng Liu, Zihao Dai, Haibo Wang, Jie Mei, Mingfong Cheong, Hanmei Zhang, Ming Kuang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Shuling ChenDivision of Interventional Ultrasound, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Zhenwei PengDepartment of Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Mengchao WeiDepartment of Liver Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Weifeng LiuDepartment of Anesthesiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Zihao DaiDepartment of Liver Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Haibo WangClinical Research Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Jie MeiClinical Research Unit, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Mingfong CheongZhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Hanmei ZhangZhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Ming KuangDivision of Interventional Ultrasound, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China. kuangm@mail.sysu.edu.cn.
Sun Yat-sen University · CNThe First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University · CN

Funding

Pearl River S&T Nova Program of Guangzhou, China 2014J2200087the National Natural Science Foundation of China 81301842the National Natural Science Foundation of China No. 81272312
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSorafenib and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) might both provide survival benefit for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Adopting either as a first-line therapy carries major cost and resource implications. We aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of sorafenib and TACE in advanced HCC.

methodsA Markov model was constructed in a hypothetical cohort of patients aged 60 years with advanced HCC and Child-Pugh A/B cirrhosis over a 2-year time frame. Three strategies (full or dose-adjusted sorafenib and TACE) were compared in two cost settings: China and the USA. Transition probabilities, utility and costs were extracted from systematic review of 27 articles. Sensitivity analysis and Monte Carlo analysis were conducted.

resultsFull and dose-adjusted sorafenib respectively produced 0.435 and 0.482 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) while TACE produced 0.375 QALYs. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of full-dose sorafenib versus TACE was $101,028.83/QALY in China whereas full-dose sorafenib is a dominant strategy (ICER of -$1,014,507.20/ QALY) compared with TACE in the USA. Compared to full-dose sorafenib, dose-adjusted sorafenib was the dominant strategy with the negative ICERs in both China (-$132,238.94/QALY) and the USA (-$230,058.09/QALY). However, dose-adjusted sorafenib is not available currently, so full-dose sorafenib should be compared with TACE. As the acceptability curves shown, full-dose sorafenib was the optimal strategy at the accepted thresholds of WTP in these two countries. Specifically, full-dose sorafenib was the cost-effective treatment compared with TACE if a WTP was set above $21,670 in the USA, whereas in China, TACE could be more favorable than full-dose sorafenib if a WTP was set below $10,473.

conclusionsDose-adjusted sorafenib may be cost-effective compared to full-dose sorafenib or TACE for advanced HCC patients. However, when confining the comparisons between full-dose sorafenib and TACE, full-dose sorafenib was cost-effective for these patients, under the accepted thresholds of WTP.

Indexed as

Chemoembolization, TherapeuticCarcinoma, HepatocellularCost-Benefit AnalysisHumansLiver NeoplasmsMarkov ChainsMonte Carlo MethodNeoplasm MetastasisNeoplasm StagingProtein Kinase InhibitorsQuality-Adjusted Life YearsSorafenibTreatment OutcomeProtein Kinase InhibitorsSorafenibAdvanced-stage hepatocellular carcinomaCost-effectiveness analysisMarkov modelSorafenibTransarterial chemoembolization

Identifiers

PMID29621988
PMCPMC5887167
OpenAlexW2806246012

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.